- Date and Time: Saturday, December 7, 2024. 8:00 PM GMT+1
- Venue: Montilivi, Girona, Spain
Girona vs Real Madrid Preview
Girona
Last season’s surprise package in La Liga will look to upset the odds once again on Saturday as Girona host Real Madrid. The Spanish side come into this round on their best unbeaten sequence of the season, having gone four without defeat.
Míchel’s side has been practical in a 4-2-3-1 formation this season, with the resurgence of Donny van de Beek being a significant reason for their success. Despite that, Girona are still underperforming in terms of an xG of 18.28, having scored just 17 goals.
🔜 #GironaRealMadrid pic.twitter.com/LbckDYx3y6
— Girona FC (@GironaFC_Engl) December 5, 2024
They’ve also allowed more goals than their xGA of 14.68 after conceding 17 times from open play. However, they’re sound structurally from setpieces and corners, conceding just twice from 23 shots.
But the defending champions will test their defensive backbone this weekend. Before making a Girona vs. Real Madrid prediction, it’s also worth noting that the hosts will be without Viktor Tsygankov and Yaser Asprilla in the final third due to injury.
Real Madrid
Despite sitting second in the standings, Carlo Ancelotti has already faced questions surrounding his future at Real Madrid this season. Los Blancos come into this round in excellent domestic form, with many of their most significant issues in the Champions League this season.
However, it could be argued that much of that is out of their control, as Ancelotti has been without key defenders Dani Carvajal, Éder Militão, and David Alaba throughout the campaign.
👟⚽ @Endrick
👟⚽ @10ArdaGuler#RMCity pic.twitter.com/6EgwCRTpT0— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) December 5, 2024
Last weekend, Madrid were once again without Vinicius Jr., but Kylian Mbappé stepped up with a goal from the left wing, as Rodrygo was deployed through the middle.
Real have been wasteful in the final third based on the xG metric this season, as they’ve scored just 18 from open play from an xG of 21.10. But, despite defensive headaches, Los Blancos are outperforming their 12.72 xGA after allowing just ten goals from open play.
Bet hereGirona vs Real Madrid Prediction
- Pick: Real Madrid to Win
- Odds: 1.72 (22Bet)
- Score prediction: Girona 0-2 Real Madrid
Don’t underestimate the fact that the Blanquivermells will be without one of their most influential attacking players, Trygankov, this weekend.
Real Madrid have been workmanlike on the road in La Liga this term, with no side having conceded fewer on their travels. Los Blancos are likely to put on another professional display on the road this weekend, as they have the attacking players to make crucial contributions at the right time of the match.
Their case is only made stronger after winning both fixtures against a fully-strength Girona in the league last season.
Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Half Time Score – Draw
- Odds: TBC (22Bet)
An interesting betting market for the opening 45 minutes could be the match to be level at the interval. Real Madrid have scored just seven in the opening 45 minutes of La Liga matches this season, with 20 of their efforts coming in the second period. Meanwhile, only one of the eleven goals that Los Blancos have conceded has come in the first half.
Alternatively, Real have been disciplined regarding cards picked up this season, averaging just 1.43 per match in La Liga. They’ve had under 3.5 cards in 57% of their fixtures in 2024-25. Therefore, Los Blancos to receive under 3.5 cards in this fixture could be an interesting bet.
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