- Date and Time: Wednesday, November 6, 2024. 8:00 PM GMT+1
- Venue: MHPArena, Stuttgart, Germany
Stuttgart vs Atalanta Preview
Stuttgart
There’s little doubt that Stuttgart have been a welcome addition to the Champions League this season, threatening a shock win at Real Madrid, before eventually getting off the mark with a deserved victory at Juventus on matchday three.
Once again, their free-flowing style of play will be evident on Wednesday, with an expansive 4-2-3-1 formation set to be in operation. This set up puts extra emphasis on wide players such as Jamie Leweling and Enzo Millot, while Deniz Undav’s hold up play is essential to get the Germans up the field.
Sebastian #Hoeneß on tomorrow’s opponents: “I want to express the utmost respect and praise for my opposite number. They’ve been involved in European football for a number of years, they finished fourth in the league last season and won the Europa League. We’re really looking… pic.twitter.com/kjKXqvfcIe
— VfB Stuttgart_int (@VfB_int) November 5, 2024
Their expansive style in the formation has been evident this term, outperforming their xG of 5.37 after netting seven times. Defensively, they have also been more solid with the formation, conceding an xGA of 2.20 and two goals overall.
However, Sebastian Hoeness will have a number of selection dilemmas this weekend, with Yannik Keitel, Justin Diehl, and Leonidas Stergiou all set to be missing.
Atalanta
The reigning Europa League champions have made a formidable defensive start to the Champions League this season, keeping clean sheets in each of their three matches. However, matches involving Atalanta this season have also accumulated 50% of the goalless draws in the Champions League.
Top striker Gianluca Scamacca remains out for the Italian visitors this week, meaning that Ademola Lookman and Charles De Ketelaere will play in the striker positions in a pacey 3-4-1-2 formation.
VfBAtalanta in caricamento 🪫➡️🔋#UCL loading 🥁#GoAtalantaGo ⚫️🔵 pic.twitter.com/IeAMVgVEux
— Atalanta B.C. (@Atalanta_BC) November 5, 2024
The speed with which Atalanta transitions has caused many top teams issues this season, and you only have to look back to their recent 3-0 win over Napoli for evidence.
Despite struggling to score in the Champions League this season, Atalanta still have a respectable domestic xG of 18.76, which they are outperforming after netting 21 goals. It is important to consider that they won’t need a vast number of chances to be a winning Stuttgart vs Atalanta prediction on Wednesday.
Bet hereStuttgart vs Atalanta Prediction
- Pick: Stuttgart to win
- Odds: 2.36 (22Bet)
- Score prediction: Stuttgart 2-1 Atalanta
Cases can be made for both teams on Wednesday, and a winning football prediction will likely hinge on which side can be clinical in the final third. Stuttgart have registered the second-most shots in the Champions League this season, but Atalanta have an equal xG of 6.17.
A home win still eludes Stuttgart in this season’s Champions League, but massive confidence would have been gained from their recent results in terms of a win over Juventus and a draw against Bayer Leverkusen.
#UCL MD4 in our sights ⚪️🔴👊#VfB | #StuttgartInternational | #UCL | #VfBATA pic.twitter.com/EZsyQU1sBx
— VfB Stuttgart_int (@VfB_int) November 5, 2024
Defensively, they have been solid against top teams in the competition this season, and that strong record could put them in an excellent position to claim maximum points against an Atalanta side that may struggle to reach the same heights as they did over the weekend.
Stuttgart vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Atalanta To Receive The Most Yellow Cards
- Odds: 1.78 (22Bet)
Atalanta have struggled with their discipline in away matches this season, averaging 2.50 yellows per match. That is significantly higher than their average of one card per match in home fixtures.
In fact, Atalanta have seen over 4.5 cards in 33% of their away matches this season. Contrastingly, Stuttgart have seen over 4.5 cards in just 25% of their home matches this season, and are averaging just under two cards per match at MHPArena.
An early goal could also be an interesting betting angle on Wednesday. Stuttgart have an xG of 3.46, and have scored four times in the first 15 minutes. Meanwhile, Atalanta have an xGA of 2.90 in the same time frame, having conceded three goals in the first 15 minutes.
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