- Date and Time: Saturday, April 26, 2025, 16:30 GMT+1
- Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium, Southampton, England
Odds via 22Bet | |
Southampton vs Fulham | Saturday, April 26, 2025, 16:30 GMT+1 |
Southampton odds | 5.1 |
Fulham odds | 1.63 |
Draw | 4.06 |
Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.72/2.13 |
Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Southampton vs Fulham Preview and Team News
Southampton Team News
Southampton’s morale received a modest lift when Lesley Ugochukwu’s stoppage‑time volley rescued a 1‑1 draw at West Ham on April 19. It was a contest that underlined Simon Rusk’s preference for a 5‑4‑1 block with rapid wide transitions.
That point was preceded by the 3‑1 defeat at Tottenham six days earlier. The game mathematically sealed relegation and revealed familiar fragilities under crosses and cut‑backs.
90+3′ 😮💨
Lesley left it late for his first #PL goal ⏰ pic.twitter.com/IPrpomoJB7
— Southampton FC (@SouthamptonFC) April 21, 2025
Before the international break, Southampton shared a chaotic 1‑1 with Crystal Palace, conceding 19 shots despite a deep starting position. When taken altogether, the run shows a side that can frustrate for long spells but collapses once the first line is broken.
Southampton under Simon Rusk have abandoned Russell Martin’s high‑possession ideals. The interim coach positions his wing‑backs low. They squeeze the central three and rely on quick diagonals to Sulemana, whose progressive carries at the London Stadium were very effective.
— Southampton FC (@SouthamptonFC) April 19, 2025
Yet their 5‑4‑1 routinely becomes 5‑2‑3 in transition, leaving Ugochukwu and Downes to patrol vast lanes ahead of an immobile back line. It’s a vulnerability Tottenham exploited with Brennan Johnson ghosting into the right half‑space for two first‑half goals.
Set‑plays are another problem: Southampton concede 0.32 xG per game from dead‑ball situations, the second‑worst mark in the division.
Goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu is still out after another rehabilitation setback on loan at Standard Liège, leaving Ramsdale to continue between the posts. Rusk confirmed post‑West Ham that there are “no fresh knocks,” but teenage midfielder Tyler Dibling is pushing for minutes from the bench.
Southampton predicted lineup vs Fulham
Southampton predicted lineup vs Fulham (3-4-2-1): Ramsdale; Harwood-Bellis, Bednarek, Stephens; Walker-Peters, Downes, Ugochukwu, Manning; Fernandes, Dibling; Archer.
Fulham Team News
Fulham’s last fortnight has been a roller‑coaster. They surrendered a 1‑0 lead to lose 2‑1 against Chelsea, despite Alex Iwobi’s sparkling opener. Six days earlier, they left the Vitality with a 0‑1 loss to Bournemouth, their midfield once more stretched by aggressive pressing triggers.
Before that, they edged Liverpool 3‑2 in a breathless counter‑punching display that underlined Rodrigo Muniz’s importance as a vertical attacker.
— Fulham Football Club (@FulhamFC) April 18, 2025
Fulham’s attacking patterns revolve around asymmetry. Silva overloads the left, pushing Robinson up while Iwobi roams inside to create a square with Pereira. Against Chelsea, that quartet combined for nine touches in the box before halftime.
The trade‑off is defensive width: when possession is lost, the nearest six must sprint 40 metres to protect Berge, whose range is limited. Bournemouth exposed that gap repeatedly, drawing Fulham’s centre‑backs into uncomfortable zones and forcing Leno into six high‑value saves.
Last time out at home. ❄️ pic.twitter.com/GfKTtmbcp9
— Fulham Football Club (@FulhamFC) April 17, 2025
The return of Tete at right‑back helps balance the transitions, but without Muniz’s ability to hold long passes, Silva’s men often suffer sustained pressure.
Silva admitted after the Chelsea game that Muniz “felt a strain” in the final training session and will be assessed later. Reiss Nelson is still out.
Fulham predicted lineup vs Southampton
Fulham predicted lineup vs Southampton (3-4-2-1): Leno; Castagne, Andersen, Bassey; Robinson, Lukic, Berge, Iwobi; Pereira, Sessegnon; Jimenez.
Bet hereSouthampton vs Fulham Prediction
- Pick: Fulham to win
- Odds: 1.63 (22Bet)
- Score prediction: Southampton 1-3 Fulham
Marco Silva’s left‑flank overloads should isolate Walker‑Peters. Jiménez’s darting near‑post runs can punish Southampton’s soft set‑piece zone marking.
Expect the visitors to dominate territory and ultimately exploit the gulf in quality and motivation to claim three points that keep their Conference League push alive.
Alex’s ninth goal of the season. 🇳🇬 pic.twitter.com/3jsZUQlq77
— Fulham Football Club (@FulhamFC) April 20, 2025
The guests come into this match with better recent form and superior underlying metrics. They have a strategy that effectively targets Southampton’s weakest areas and enjoy a significant advantage in set pieces, especially given the hosts’ vulnerabilities with corners.
Additionally, the guests have a strong motivation to win and take into account the historical challenges the home team has faced in maintaining leads. Therefore, a Fulham victory appears to be the most logical outcome of this game.
Southampton vs Fulham Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Total Over 2.5
- Odds: 1.71 (22Bet)
Southampton have been defensively leaky throughout the season, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per match. Notably, they’ve allowed 41 in their last 15 meetings, the highest in the Premier League during that span.
This trend indicates a consistent inability to contain opposing attacks, making high-scoring events more probable.
A tougher start to the second half.
Let’s keep pushing, Fulham. 👊 pic.twitter.com/525QqV0jhi
— Fulham Football Club (@FulhamFC) April 20, 2025
Fulham have demonstrated attacking strength, scoring around 1.45 goals per 90. Their recent fixtures include a 3-2 victory over Liverpool and a 2-1 loss to Chelsea, both surpassing the 2.5 goal mark. This implies their matches are open and conducive to multiple goals.
Southampton’s last six encounters have seen over 2.5 balls netted in four instances, while Fulham’s last six have surpassed this mark in five cases. These patterns underscore a trend toward high-scoring games for both teams.
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