Poland vs. Netherlands Prediction: UEFA Euro Group Stage Match on 16.06.2024

• Date and Time: Sunday, June 16, 13:00 GMT
• Venue: Volksparkstadion

Poland vs. Netherlands Team Overview

Poland

Netherlands

Poland vs. Netherlands Head-to-Head Statistics

The head-to-head statistics show that the Netherlands have an edge over Poland ahead of their Euro 2024 Group D encounter. With that in mind, our free football predictions lean towards a win for the Netherlands, who finished behind France in the qualifying draw. 

In their last five encounters, Poland have been unable to register a single win, managing a solitary draw, and the Netherlands winning the remaining four matches. 

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Poland vs. Netherlands Player Focus

Football bet predictions back Robert Lewandowski to be decisive for Poland and get his name on the scoresheet. The Barcelona forward has the pedigree to make a difference in the attacking phase. Poland will look to offer him support with Swiderski and midfield runners when they are in possession. 

However, Lewandowski left the pitch injured in the friendly against Turkey with a thigh injury.

OFFICIAL: LEWY OUT FOR HOLLAND GAME ❌

Robert Lewandowski has torn his biceps femoris muscle and 100% will NOT PLAY against the Netherlands!

The medical team is to now do everything to ensure that the Polish captain is ready for the second group match with Austria.#EURO2024 pic.twitter.com/PF1e4u2QzB

— PSN Futbol (@PSN_Futbol) June 11, 2024

The Netherlands will rely heavily on Memphis Depay, who has endured a season plagued by injuries at Atletico Madrid. With the club deciding not to renew his contract, Depay will be determined to prove he still has what it takes, both to attract a new club and to achieve glory with his national team.

According to Euro 2024 betting experts, other players to watch in the Dutch team are Xavi Simons, who had a stellar season at RB Leipzig with 8 goals and 11 assists, and Tijjani Reijnders, who has become one of the key players at AC Milan. 

#POLNED focus. 💯 #NothingLikeOranje #CreateHistory pic.twitter.com/GIliD4AWaQ

— OnsOranje (@OnsOranje) June 13, 2024

The match will be tight, and either side’s ruthlessness will provide the spark to decide it. In the wide areas, the Netherlands’ fullbacks and wingers will have to work to create overloads and push Poland’s wingbacks back. Failure to do this will stretch their defense, creating gaps for midfield runners in the pocket spaces, an issue fans witnessed in the European qualifiers. 

Poland will need to be compact without the ball. They must be deep and narrow to seal all the spaces and force the Netherlands wide and away from goal.

Poland vs. Netherlands Prediction, Tactical Analysis

Poland can adopt a 3-5-2 formation, which will allow them to be narrow and compact down their spine. This will make it difficult to play through them and even harder to create spaces in midfield to advance into chances or half chances.

Ronald Koeman will favor a 4-3-3 formation that is narrow in approach and defensively sound, especially on counter-attacks and transitions. 

Hard-running midfielders, including the Saudi Pro League’s Wijnaldum and Liverpool’s Gravenberch, will offer energy and rhythm in the midfield, while Frimpong and Depay will provide width in attack and pressing.

🦁 @Memphis #NothingLikeOranje #CreateHistory pic.twitter.com/wVMr8lJp6C

— OnsOranje (@OnsOranje) June 13, 2024

The battle in wide areas will be pivotal in this match; the Dutch wingers will have to nullify Poland’s wingback threat. The ability to leverage space in these wide areas will be defining for both teams as they bid to create overloads on the right or left and gain an advantage.

Tactically, the Netherlands and Poland will vie to control territory and overloads to control possession, allowing individual quality to shine through and be decisive in the match.

Poland vs. Netherlands Prediction, Betting Tip

• Football Pick: Total Under 2.5
• Odds: 1.91 (22bet)
• Score Prediction: Poland 0-1 Netherlands

Poland and the Netherlands are hallmarked by their solidity-first approach. The Netherlands’ use of a back three highlights the focus on minimizing concession of chances even as they attack.

Poland will also pack the midfield area and use three center-backs, highlighting their solidity. It seems likely that these two sides will retain their approaches in their Euros opener on Sunday, with Poland as possible dark horses in this group. This highlights why the Total Under 2.5 betting tip is a safe one ahead of the match.

Michał Probierz responds to Ronald Koeman: 💬

“I don’t know Koeman personally. It’s hard for me to say what’s going on in his head.

Robert will definitely not play on Sunday. That much is certain. If coach Koeman doesn’t believe it, then he should call Barcelona.”

(Presser) pic.twitter.com/cVWJ8SBsjl

— PSN Futbol (@PSN_Futbol) June 12, 2024

Poland will look to be compact defensively and incisive in their attacking phase. However, the Netherlands will be solid in their approach and will have the quality in the attacking end to create and take chances.

We expect that the Netherlands will open their Group D campaign with a win on Sunday. 

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