Newcastle vs Chelsea Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 30.10.2024

• Date and Time: October 30, 19:45 GMT+1
• Venue: St James’ Park, Newcastle, England

Newcastle vs Chelsea Preview

Newcastle

Newcastle achieved an impressive record by winning four out of five matches at the start of the season. However, concerns about the quality of the team’s play quickly emerged as the Magpies conceded too many dangerous opportunities.

The absence of key central defenders Jamaal Lascelles and Sven Botman, both injured, has hindered Eddie Howe’s team from maintaining an organized pressing strategy. This lack of personnel has led to numerous positional errors in the defensive line. Opponents frequently exploit Newcastle’s high defensive line with simple passes behind, often breaking through the offside trap.

Eddie Howe employs a risky defense strategy, with Dan Burn often stepping out to man-mark forwards aggressively. However, Burn struggles with agility and speed, making it challenging for him to keep up with his opponents. This often results in him being manipulated and lured into difficult positions, leaving Newcastle’s defense with only three defenders to manage a large amount of space.

However, the defenders are not only to blame. The entire Newcastle team has issues with pressing, contributing to poor outcomes.

On the offensive end, Newcastle consistently create numerous scoring chances, although they struggle with finishing. Alexander Isak excels at making runs behind the opposing defense, but struggles to convert chances consistently.

Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes create a significant attacking threat on the right flank due to their speed and exceptional dribbling skills. Meanwhile, Joelinton, playing as an attacking midfielder, provides additional danger from the midfield with his well-timed runs into the penalty area.

Eddie Howe will likely use his strongest squad for this match, as his team doesn’t have any European commitments this season. This gives them more resources to focus on winning domestic trophies. However, Anthony Gordon remains a question mark after sustaining an injury in the match against Brighton.

Chelsea

Chelsea have made significant improvements this season, avoiding the collapses that plagued them last year. Enzo Maresca’s team is just one point away from third place in the Premier League and has won both of their matches in the Conference League.

With the depth of their squad, the Blues have a strong chance of securing either the League Cup or the FA Cup, where they can rotate key players and focus on their Premier League ambitions.

Enzo Maresca is gradually building a team that plays effectively against teams pressing with a high defensive line. Chelsea consistently creates numerical advantages in midfield using a 3-2-2-3 formation, with Nicholas Jackson operating as a false nine. At the same time, Noni Madueke and either Pedro Neto or Jadon Sancho stretch the opposition’s defense on the flanks, creating scoring opportunities through dribbling and dangerous passes into the penalty area.

In terms of expected goals, Chelsea ranks among the top five teams in the Premier League. However, the most important aspect is that the team has a clear strategy with well-defined roles in the attacking phase. This allows the Blues to create dangerous chances, regardless of the opponent’s status.

Enzo Maresca’s main task is to improve the team’s defensive play. While his squad is no longer experiencing the significant lapses seen during preseason matches or at the start of the season, Chelsea still struggles with compact pressing and transitioning smoothly from attack to defense.

As a result, the Blues frequently concede and currently rank eighth in the Premier League for goals allowed. In the Conference League, they’ve also conceded goals in every match, even against weaker opponents. If Maresca doesn’t address the pressing issues, his team will find it challenging to win a trophy this season and to finish in the top four of the Premier League.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Statistics

Newcastle and Chelsea’s last meeting was last Sunday at Stamford Bridge, with Chelsea continuing their strong home form in this fixture, having won their last three home meetings.

However, the last encounter at St. James’ Park, which took place on November 25, 2023, ended with Newcastle winning 4-1.

In November 2022, the Magpies also secured a home win with a 1-0 score. During both these matches, Newcastle showcased impressive intensity and dominated Chelsea.

As these teams prepare to meet again, it will be interesting to see how Chelsea’s side under Enzo Maresca adapts to the challenges posed by Newcastle’s physical and pressing style at St. James’ Park.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Player Focus

Christopher Nkunku scored three goals against Barrow in the previous round of the FA Cup and added two goals in two Conference League matches.

There is no doubt that the French attacker has the potential to shine in the upcoming match against Newcastle. While it’s uncertain how satisfied he is with his role as a substitute at Chelsea, Nkunku is certainly capable of exploiting Newcastle’s defensive weaknesses.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Tactical Analysis

In their last meeting, both teams focused on vertical attacks, bypassing each other’s press by using direct passes and quickly getting the ball into the box.

At home, Newcastle is expected to play more aggressively and intensively against Chelsea, which will be a good test for Chelsea. It will be interesting to see the Blues’ lineup and whether they can perform effectively in attack without Cole Palmer, who will likely be given a rest.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction

• Football pick: Both teams to score
• Odds: 1.54 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Newcastle 1-1 Chelsea

The match at Stamford Bridge showed that both teams have the ability to attack variably and execute successful passes behind the defensive line. This resulted in numerous dangerous moments, and both teams could have scored more than three goals.

It is likely that we will see a similar situation at St James’ Park, where the teams will regularly create scoring opportunities and are sure to exchange goals.

Newcastle vs Chelsea Betting Tip

• Football Pick: Chelsea Total Over 0.5
• Odds: 1.22 (22Bet)

Following their defeat against Manchester City in the Premier League opening match, Chelsea have scored in 13 consecutive games. There are strong reasons to believe they will find the net again in their upcoming match.

Key players like Christopher Nkunku, Mykhaylo Mudryk, Jadon Sancho, and João Félix are all vying for starting positions, which will undoubtedly motivate them to showcase their best performances against Newcastle.

Considering the defensive issues Newcastle United are facing this season, it is reasonable to expect that Chelsea will score at least one goal in this match.

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