- Date and Time: Saturday, January 18, 2025, 17:00 GMT+1
- Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin, Italy
| Odds via 22bet | |
| Juventus vs AC Milan | Saturday, January 18, 2025, 17:00 GMT+1 |
| Juventus odds | 2.19 |
| AC Milan odds | 3.44 |
| Draw | 3.26 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 2.14/1.70 |
Juventus vs AC Milan Preview
Juventus
For Thiago Motta’s men, it’s been an unbeaten start to life in Serie A. Despite that, Juventus are languishing outside of the Champions League spots.
One reason for their stuttering campaign comes down to draws. They’ve drawn a staggering 13 games in 20 matches this season. These have continued to impact their progression since the winter break, playing out ties in their previous three.
A possible reason for this issue is their poor attacking outlet, scoring just 25 goals from an open play xG of 25.62. But they have defended reliably, only allowing eleven goals from open play from an xGA of 10.71.
| Recent Form | D-D-D-W-D |
| Key Players to Watch | Dušan Vlahović |
| Team Strengths | Reliable defensive record |
| Team Weaknesses | Poor outlet in the final third in terms of shot conversion |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Gleison Bremer (Knee) Juan Cabal (Knee) |
AC Milan
The arrival of Sergio Conceicao has sparked a revival in AC Milan. They were recently crowned Italian Super Cup winners against Inter.
However, league results under the Portuguese coach have been mixed, drawing against Cagliari but beating Como. The head coach has kept faith in the 4-2-3-1 formation, with Rafael Leão and Christian Pulisic playing on the wings.
Milan will need to be more clinical in the final third based on an xG metric of 28.94, scoring just 24 goals. However, they’ve been defensively sound, allowing just 18 goals from an open play xGA of 19.75.
| Recent Form | W-D-W-W-D |
| Key Players to Watch | Rafael Leão |
| Team Strengths | World-class talent in the wide attacking areas |
| Team Weaknesses | Vulnerable from defensive set pieces |
| Injuries and Suspensions | Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Muscle) Alessandro Florenzi (Knee) |
Juventus vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Statistics
It could be alarming to make a Juventus vs. AC Milan prediction, knowing that the latter have been held to draws against the hosts more than any other Serie A club.
It’s worth noting that the home side have kept clean sheets in their last three league matches against these rivals. However, they’ve only scored twice in their previous eight against them.
Bet hereJuventus vs AC Milan Player Focus
With wins in short supply, there will be pressure on the Juventus attackers to make the difference this weekend. Kenan Yildiz is a star who looks likely to make a decisive impact for his teammates throughout the season.
The midfielder has scored four goals and registered two assists in 20 league matches this term. Yildiz is averaging 1.60 shots per 90 and has an xG of 2.61. But it could be his creativity that makes the difference this weekend. He is only narrowly underperforming in terms of an xA of 3.25.
Juventus vs AC Milan Tactical Analysis
The recent Super Cup meeting between the clubs is a good case study to consider ahead of this Serie A showdown. Milan eventually overcame Juventus 2-1, but it appeared that teams wanted to play on the counter-attack.
Juventus had the narrow edge in terms of possession but only registered three shots on target. They’ll need to be better when they have the ball on Saturday, as they recorded a pass accuracy of just 86% compared to their opposition’s 90%. Whichever side uses the ball better will likely come out on top.
Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction
- Football pick: The Draw
- Odds: 3.26 (22Bet)
- Score prediction: Juventus 1-1 AC Milan
It’s surprising the odds aren’t fancying a draw this weekend. A staggering 58 of the previous Serie A meetings between these sides have ended level. Additionally, Juventus have recently struggled to score against Milan. Two of the last four matches ended level.
Juventus may be the best choice to score the opening goal. They’ve already dropped points from winning positions in seven previous matches in 2024-25.
Juventus vs AC Milan Betting Tip
- Football Pick: Under 4.5 Cards
- Odds: 1.70 (22Bet)
The disciplinary records of these sides could make for a viable betting angle this weekend. Under 4.5 cards stands an excellent chance. The hosts have averaged just 1.80 cards per game, while Milan have averaged 1.74 per 90 in Serie A this term. Meanwhile, both clubs have recorded under 4.5 cards in over 60% of their matches this season.
So far, the guests have conceded two goals from an xGA of 1.88 from corners. Therefore, an interesting alternative could be for Pierre Kalulu to score for Juventus. The defender has netted once in 17 appearances and averaged 0.8 shots per 90.
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