Inter vs Milan Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 23.04.2025

• Date and Time: Wednesday, April 23, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1
• Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Inter vs Milan Preview and Team News 

Inter Team News

Inter’s return of seven points from their last four league fixtures, a gritty 3‑1 over Cagliari, 2‑2 draw with Parma, and Sunday’s slip in Emilia‑Romagna, reflects a side juggling three competitions but still unbeaten at San Siro in 2025.

Riccardo Orsolini’s 94‑minute bicycle‑kick condemned Inter to a 1‑0 setback against Bologna on Sunday – their first defeat in nine domestic outings. 

Inzaghi: “The defeat hurts but we move forward with confidence”#ForzaInter #BolognaInter

— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter_en) April 20, 2025

Simone Inzaghi admitted that the performance “was organised but lacked the spark to finish counters,” insisting the slip “must not derail our path” before the decisive derby.

The coach was already without top scorer Marcus Thuram, whose thigh strain ruled him out for the game against Bologna, leaving him racing the clock for Wednesday.

Club sources suggest the Frenchman will only make the bench at best, so Lautaro Martínez is likely to be flanked by the industrious Joaquín Correa. 

Full Time. #ForzaInter #BolognaInter pic.twitter.com/mTxzRdMLKr

— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter_en) April 20, 2025

Alessandro Bastoni played the full 90 at the Dall’Ara but picked up a booking that suspends him for the league meeting with Roma, freeing him to start here. 

Inter’s last four matches form a curious arc from a tactical perspective. 

Inter predicted lineup vs Milan

Inter predicted lineup vs Milan (4-3-3):  Sommer; Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Correa, L. Martínez.

Milan Team News

Sergio Conceição’s Milan remain mercurial: a rousing 4‑0 dismantling of Udinese on 11 April was bookended by a 2‑1 defeat at Napoli and Sunday’s 1‑0 reverse to Atalanta, leaving the Rossoneri winless in three away fixtures.

The master‑class vs Udinese owed much to Theo Hernández’s high‑starting runs and Christian Pulisic drifting inside to form a rectangle with Luka Jović. 

Conceição reused these tactics against Atalanta but without the same incision. Atalanta’s head coach Gian Piero Gasperini clogged the central lanes with a back‑three that stepped out aggressively.

Post-match reaction from Rafael Leão 🎙️#MilanAtalanta #SempreMilan pic.twitter.com/V5OEuYVoaw

— AC Milan (@acmilan) April 20, 2025

Goalkeeper Mike Maignan, stretchered off after a head clash in Udine, returned to full training on Monday after neurological clearance, sparing Milan a crisis between the posts. Rafael Leão shook off a minor knock and is set to partner Pulisic and João Félix behind Tammy Abraham. Meanwhile, Conceição hinted Santiago Giménez “is ready for impact minutes” if a goal is needed late.

Milan’s trajectory is the inverse: porous in transition at Napoli, they switched to an asymmetric press at Udine, pulling Leão inside to overload the half‑spaces. 

Full-time at San Siro.#MilanAtalanta #SempreMilan pic.twitter.com/JEyfd7RVqP

— AC Milan (@acmilan) April 20, 2025

That produced nine passes leading directly to shots, their season‑high away from San Siro. 

Yet Atalanta showed how to blunt these tactics: Gasperini’s wing‑backs stayed narrow, blocking Hernández’s under‑lap, and his midfield line dropped five yards to deny Pulisic’s diagonal carries, forcing Milan into 28 crosses, of which only four met a teammate.

Milan predicted lineup vs Inter

Milan predicted lineup vs Inter (3-4-2-1): Maignan; Walker, Thiaw, Gabbia, Hernández; Fofana, Reijnders; Pulisic, J. Félix, Leão; Abraham.

Inter vs Milan Prediction 

• Pick: Inter to win
• Odds: 1.99 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Inter 2-1 Milan

Simone Inzaghi’s men have looked more cohesive whenever Çalhanoğlu dictates tempo at home, and with Lautaro Martínez’s movement testing Gabbia‑Tomori, Inter should edge a Milan outfit still assembling under Conceição. 

Expect an open finale: Milan’s bench (Giménez, Jović) adds punch, but Inter’s transitional efficiency and home solidity mean the Nerazzurri are favourites to book a 10th Coppa Italia final in 17 years.

🏃🔋#ForzaInter #BolognaInter pic.twitter.com/fUorS8QMXv

— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter) April 20, 2025

Inter have not lost a competitive home game in 2025 and are unbeaten in 14 straight at San Siro in Europe, winning 12 of them. In the league, they average 2.42 points per home match, the best record in Italy, contributing to a table‑topping 71‑point haul. 

Inter generate 2.0 xG per home outing according to Understat’s 2024‑25 model. Milan concede 1.44 goals and 1.57 xGA on their Serie A travels and have shipped at least one in 75 % of those fixtures. 

That vulnerability resurfaced in defeats at Napoli on 30 March and Atalanta on 20 April.

2️⃣0️⃣🇹🇷#ForzaInter #BolognaInter pic.twitter.com/3nrl2s7X8U

— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter) April 20, 2025

Inter lead Serie A for goals (11) and xG (8.6) from corners and free‑kicks respectively. This advantage is magnified by Milan conceding a league‑average 0.31 xG per game from set pieces. 

Çalhanoğlu and Dimarco, the division’s two most accurate corner‑takers, will again aim at Bastoni’s and Acerbi’s runs; two of Inter’s past three derby goals were made that way.

Inter vs Milan Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
• Odds: 1.77 (22Bet)

The last four competitive Milan‑Inter clashes average 3.75 actual goals and 3.2 combined xG. Only the cagey first leg stayed under, despite producing 31 shots.

Inter are Serie A’s top scorers with 72 goals and log 18.1 shots per match; Milan attempt 15.3 and find the net every 58 minutes. Understat ranks the pair second and third in the league for open‑play xG per game.

Team 💛#ForzaInter #BolognaInter pic.twitter.com/p3uljpcxcY

— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter) April 20, 2025

Eight of Milan’s last ten games and seven of Inter’s last ten cleared this line.

With the away‑goals rule long scrapped, a draw simply forces extra‑time; Conceição has already hinted Santiago Giménez is primed for a late cameo if chasing the game. That commitment to attack was evident in Udine, where Milan registered nine shot‑chains of 10+ passes – their season peak.

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