- Date and Time: Wednesday, January 15, 2025. 19:30 GMT
- Venue: Goodison Park, Liverpool, England
Everton vs Aston Villa Preview
Everton
David Moyes begins his second reign at Everton at Goodison Park on Wednesday, as Everton host Aston Villa. The Toffees suffered defeats in their last two Premier League matches. They’ve failed to register an xG of 1.0 in either of their latest matches against Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth.
Attacking quality has been a primary concern for Everton this term, as they’ve only scored seven goals from an open play xG of 14.87. In fact, Moyes’ men have scored as many goals from set pieces this season as they have from open play.
Defensively, Everton will also need to improve, conceding 21 goals from an xGA of 25.46. Dominic Calvert-Lewin should be fit enough to start, and the head coach could opt to deploy him in a two-pronged attack with Armando Broja.
Aston Villa
Unai Emery will be hoping that his Aston Villa squad can record a third straight domestic win on Wednesday.
However, the West Midlands side will be without Diego Carlos, John McGinn, and Pau Torres. But Emery will keep the 4-2-3-1 formation, with Amadou Onana likely to partner Youri Tielemans in the defensive midfield positions.
Despite having excellent attacking players at their disposal, Villa have underperformed in terms of an xG of 26.07 this season, netting just 21 goals. They’ve also underperformed in terms of xGA, conceding 26 balls from a metric of 24.21.
Bet hereEverton vs Aston Villa Prediction
- Pick: The Draw
- Odds: 3.38 (22Bet)
- Score prediction: Everton 1-1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s form has been inconsistent throughout this season. It’s therefore guaranteed to be an improvement by Everton in their first match under Moyes.
The Scotsman is likely to revert back to a 4-4-2, with Broja and Calvert-Lewin leading the line. We could see Everton’s performance improved in front of their home fans.
It would be a concern when making an Everton vs Aston Villa prediction that the hosts are winless in their last eleven against the Villans. However, the Midlands side have struggled on the road, losing each of their previous five.
Everton vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Over 2.5 Cards
- Odds: 1.35 (22Bet)
Cards could be an interesting betting angle this week. Everton have averaged 2.11 cards with over 3.5 in 37% of their matches this season. Villa have normalised 2.2 cards per match and breached that same benchmark in 70% of their fixtures.
Dwight McNeil’s return to the starting eleven could be an important factor this week. He’s an interesting alternative betting angle to find the back of the net.
McNeil has scored 3in 13 this season and has registered an xG of 1.15 from 1,72 shots per 90.
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