- Date and Time: December 1, 13:30 GMT+1
- Venue: Stamford Bridge, London, England
| Odds via 22bet | |
| Chelsea vs Aston Villa | December 1, 13:30 GMT+1 |
| Chelsea odds | 1.71 |
| Aston Villa odds | 4.3 |
| Draw | 4.2 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.46/2.39 |
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Preview
Chelsea
Chelsea, despite the intense competition, continue to be in the top 4 of the Premier League.
Enzo Maresca’s team is playing quite consistently, losing only twice this season against Manchester City and Liverpool. In both games, the Blues had good chances to avoid defeat but struggled to convert them.
Last season, under Mauricio Pochettino, Chelsea’s players regularly had a drop in their performance, especially in defence, which led them to concede too many goals. The main problem was the lack of structure in all phases of the game, which resulted in players often moving quite chaotically, especially in matches where Chelsea were losing.
Levi and Noni. 💙#CFC | #UECL pic.twitter.com/pNfTgr1k1n
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) November 28, 2024
But since Enzo Maresca took over as head coach, the Blues have become more organised and the players now have a much better understanding of their roles on the pitch and the areas they need to cover. This has made Chelsea less vulnerable in the transitions from attack to defence and less likely to concede goals overall.
In positional attacks, Chelsea`s players have evenly filled the wings, half-spaces and centre in every match, with Maresca regularly using rotation and frequently changing player positions.
In particular, in the last match against Leicester, Marc Cucurella regularly found himself in a high attacking position near the touchline on the left wing. In previous matches, he had played a more defensive role and only occasionally went into attack, most often in the left half-space.
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) November 27, 2024
This change in Cucurella’s position did not disrupt the overall structure of the zone filling, which is undoubtedly an achievement for the team’s head coach.
But Chelsea’s main attacking strategy revolves around passes behind the backs of the opponents’ high defence line with timely runs into the penalty area. This approach has allowed the Blues to create most of their dangerous chances this season, especially in quick transitions from defence to attack.
A sunny Tuesday at Cobham. ☀️ pic.twitter.com/UMzOowFM19
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) November 26, 2024
Enzo Maresca’s side have a number of clever ideas that allow them to penetrate their opponents’ defence in a variety of ways, precisely through quick attacks with well-timed passes behind the backs of defenders.
This may well work against Aston Villa, who often use a high defensive line and have recently struggled to control their opponents’ quick attacks.
| Recent Form | WWDWD |
| Key Players to Watch | Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernández |
| Team Strengths | Great play against teams with high defensive line |
| Team Weaknesses | Unstable play in defence and attack |
| Key Injuries and Suspensions | Reece James (Thigh Injury) |
Aston Villa
Aston Villa have not won in seven consecutive matches and have only two wins in their last ten matches.
At first glance, it is not easy to explain the reasons for this decline in results because the Villans played with good organization and high intensity in recent matches.
Nevertheless, the main difference with their successful start of the season, when Villa’s players won seven in nine matches, is their poor ability to convert scoring chances and frequent errors in positional defense.
Emi Martínez doing Emi Martínez things 👑 pic.twitter.com/aGi0v3n5B2
— Aston Villa (@AVFCOfficial) November 28, 2024
This was particularly evident in the match against Juventus, when Ollie Watkins and his attacking partners once again failed to capitalize on several big chances. At the same time, the Italian club could have scored 2-3 goals if not for the excellent play of Emiliano Martínez in goal.
A similar situation occurred in the match against Crystal Palace in the Premier League, where both teams scored two goals each. Villa players could have scored one or two more goals if not for poor finishing.
Top support yet again from you, Villans 💜 pic.twitter.com/llhTieN3yg
— Aston Villa (@AVFCOfficial) November 27, 2024
In general, it is difficult to say why Villa’s forwards, who were scoring well at the start of the season, stopped finding the back of the net. And it is also unclear why there has been a decline in the quality of their defensive play, leading to regular goals conceded.
Although we should not forget that at the end of the previous season, Aston Villa was in seventh place in the table of expected points, indicating that their finishing in the top four did not truly reflect their real performance level.
Much of their success was attributed to the fantastic realisation of dangerous chances by Ollie Watkins which helped Unai Emery’s team to take fourth place in the table.
A point apiece on matchday five in the Champions League. #AVLJUV || #UCL pic.twitter.com/rtjBsmYsO7
— Aston Villa (@AVFCOfficial) November 27, 2024
Without the English striker’s regular goals in the current season, Aston Villa are unlikely to replicate last season’s achievements. And in the next match against Chelsea, they will certainly not be favourites.
| Recent Form | DLLLL |
| Key Players to Watch | Ollie Watkins, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers |
| Team Strengths | Fast vertical attacks |
| Team Weaknesses | Vulnerable flanks of the defence |
| Key Injuries and suspensions | Boubacar Kamara, Ezri Konsa (doubtful) Amadou Onana (doubtful) |
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head Statistics
Chelsea and Aston Villa have regularly exchanged wins in the last four years, so it is difficult to identify a particular trend with either team dominating.
Interestingly, Chelsea were consistently victorious at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League until 2023, when Aston Villa won first in April 2-0 and then in September 1-0.
Their last meeting was in April 2024 which ended in a 2-2 draw. Aston Villa had been leading 2-0 until the 62nd minute of the match, but concede 2 goals at the end of the game.
Bet hereChelsea vs Aston Villa Player Focus
Enzo Fernández has been regularly criticized this season for his passivity in the defensive phase and his insufficient quality in progressing the ball into the final third.
But in the match against Leicester, Fernández was the best player on the pitch, providing three key passes, making five tackles, registering an assist and a goal. It is quite interesting to see if the Argentine can maintain the same level of play in the next match.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Preview, Tactical Analysis
Chelsea, in possession, will probably try to create a numerical advantage in the center of the pitch in their 3-2-2-3 formation against Aston Villa’s 4-4-2 defensive formation. Villa, on the other hand, will probably try to overload the area around Enzo Fernández and Moisés Caicedo, where Chelsea usually lack compactness.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction
- Football Pick: 1X (Chelsea won`t lose)
- Odds: 1.24 (22Bet)
- Score prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa is an unpredictable team, because it is very dependent on the realization of chances by Ollie Watkins and Jhon Durán.
If Watkins starts converting his chances again, as it was last season or at the beginning of this season, or if Durán begins scoring goals after coming on as a substitute, then the visitors have a good of at least earning a draw.
This squad. 💙#CFC | #LEICHE pic.twitter.com/YTymDVziKB
— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) November 25, 2024
On the other hand, Chelsea is a more stable team at the moment, showing no big issues with finishing. Moreover, the leader of the Blues,Cole Palmer, shows a terrific performance in every match and is likely to exploit the defensive weaknesses of Aston Villa.
In my opinion, betting on a a Chelsea win at odds of 1.71 is a good option, but the safer choice is 1X (Chelsea won`t lose).
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tip
- Football Pick: Player To Score Or To Provide An Assist. Cole Palmer
- Odds: TBC (22Bet)
Cole Palmer has not contributed goals or assists in the last three matches, but in the match against Aston Villa at home, he is expected to perform at his best and make a significant contribution to his team’s success with either a goal or an assist.
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