Atlético Madrid are hoping to boost their chances of a top-eight finish in the initial phase of the Champions League. They welcome Bayern München to the Estadio Metropolitano.

Atlético Madrid Short on Midfield Options

It’s seven straight wins in La Liga for Atlético Madrid, who beat Levante 2-0 on Saturday. However, they’ve only collected four points so far in Europe, so Diego Simeone will field his strongest possible lineup here.

He won’t, however, be able to call upon the suspended Morten Hjulmand, who was sent off after 64 minutes in the 1-1 draw away to VfB Stuttgart. Fellow midfielders Johnny Cardoso and Koke could also miss out due to injuries.

Marcos Llorente is likely to operate in a central role as a result. Meanwhile, Álex Baena should be heavily involved on the left, and he’ll cause problems for Bayern full-back Konrad Laimer. The Spain international has registered five goals and four assists in 14 club appearances this term.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup vs Bayern München (4-2-3-1): Oblak; Pubill, Romero, Hancko, Grimaldo; Barrios, Llorente; Simeone, Lee, Baena; Álvarez.

Depleted Attack a Major Concern for Bayern München

Bayern München have a host of selection problems in attack. Serge Gnabry and Ismael Saibari have both been ruled out after picking up injuries in the 2-2 draw against Borussia Dortmund on Saturday.

Michael Olise also picked up a knock in Der Klassiker and is rated doubtful, while Luis Díaz and Jamal Musiala will miss out again. That leaves Harry Kane with less quality in support. The Ballon d’Or winner missed a penalty at the weekend, but he has netted four times in three European outings this term.

Manuel Neuer is an additional doubt in goal for a Bayern side that have conceded five times already in the 2026/27 Champions League. Jonas Urbig is likely to fill in.

Bayern München predicted lineup vs Atlético Madrid (4-2-3-1): Urbig; Laimer, Upamecano, Tah, Stanišić; Kimmich, Pavlović; Karl, Bischof, Davies; Kane.

Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Atlético Madrid +1 Handicap
  • Odds: 1.344 (22Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Atlético Madrid 2-1 Bayern München
  • 22Bet Booking Code: 6ZMAK

Key stats:

  • Atlético Madrid haven’t lost any of their last nine matches in all competitions.
  • Los Rojiblancos are unbeaten across three previous home meetings with Bayern München in Europe.
  • The Bavarians have only won three of their past seven games.

With Vincent Kompany continuing his recovery from a recent health scare, Bayern will miss their coach’s input. The Bundesliga leaders look vulnerable defensively and have gone seven competitive fixtures without a clean sheet.

A clinical display from Kane is the main risk factor when backing the hosts, but they will take confidence from a strong record at the Estadio Metropolitano on European nights. Since the Champions League moved to a new format in 2024, Atlético Madrid boast a 71% win rate at home in this competition. They are a safe pick with a +1 handicap at 1.344.

Atlético Madrid vs Bayern München Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value Tip: Bayern München to score under 1.5 goals
  • Odds: 2.11 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: DV7AK

With just one goal conceded across their past five competitive fixtures, Atlético Madrid have found more balance and consistency in defence.

Simeone’s team have let in just 0.5 goals per 90 minutes at home this season. With the likes of Musiala and Díaz missing, backing Bayern to score under 1.5 goals offers value at 2.11.

Verdict: Atlético Madrid +1 Handicap (1.344) — Atlético Madrid 2-1 Bayern München.