Life in Germany has been kind to Vincent Kompany to this point, and Bayern Munich could move clear at the top of the standings this weekend.
Kompany’s squad have suffered only one defeat in their 17 outings this season, and their dynamic attacking qualities have drawn the eye. Bayern Munich have netted a league-high of 48 goals, with 35 of those coming from an xG of 35.05.
The head coach has also made the defence more challenging to get through. They’ve allowed just eleven goals from open play from an xGA of 7.75.
Breaking down their reliable backline is the big question posed to Wolfsburg ahead of Saturday. However, their chances could be aided by Bayern’s injury crisis. João Palhinha, Sacha Boey, and Josip Stanišić are all ruled out.
Wolfsburg are enjoying one of their best Bundesliga campaigns and could end the round as high as fifth if they claim a win at the Allianz Arena. Confidence within the camp will be high after victories in three of their last five matches.
Their attacking quality since the winter break has been clear. On Tuesday, they scored five against Borussia Monchengladbach from an xG of 3.73. Overall, they’re outscoring their metric of 19.50 after netting 24 from open play this season.
They will, however, need to limit the standard of chances they’re permitting after conceding an xGA of 21.17 this term and allowing 17 goals from open play. Ralph Hasenhüttl will have Tiago Tomas back in contention, but Lovro Majer is a doubt.
Bet hereDespite injury issues, Bayern have stretched their advantage at the top of the standings since returning to action following the winter break. They have a dominant nature in front of goal, scoring 35 goals from an open play xG of 35,05, meaning they won’t need a second opportunity to take their chance.
Wolfsburg’s inability to defend in a structured shape could be their downfall on Saturday, but they should at least trouble Manuel Neuer in the goal.
It’s worth noting before making a prediction for Bayern Munich vs Wolfsburg that the former have won each of their last five Bundesliga matches against their rivals.
Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich have both been productive with the ball this season, reflected by the number of corners that have been recorded in their matches. Therefore, over 9.5 corners looks to be a solid chance. The hosts have breached that benchmark in 62% of their games, while the visitors have achieved it in only 47% of their Bundesliga fixtures.
While not the most lucrative alternative, Harry Kane may be a good bet to score at the Allianz Arena. The England captain has netted 15 in 14 league matches this season and has an xG of 13.17 from an average of 4.07 shots per game.
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