| Odds via 22bet | |
| Spain vs England | July 14, 20:00 GMT+1 |
| Spain odds | 2.46 |
| England odds | 3.36 |
| Draw | 2.86 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 2.48/1.54 |
After Spain’s victory over France, some fans and experts claimed it was an easy win for Luis De La Fuente’s team. However, statistics reveal that the French created more dangerous opportunities than the Spanish, with higher expected goals (0.75-1.10) and more big chances (1-3).
During the second half, France had six shots inside the box and two shots on target, while Spain managed only one shot off target. This suggests that if Didier Deschamps’ team had attacked more effectively and used their chances better, the match could have ended differently, possibly going into overtime or even a penalty shootout.
In the entire match, Spain had only two shots on target, both of which resulted in goals. Lamine Yamal’s goal was a showcase of individual skill rather than a result of collective play.
In my opinion, the semifinal match showcased Spain’s weakest level of play in the tournament so far. This was largely due to the absence of two crucial players – Robin Le Normand and especially Daniel Carvajal – due to suspension.
However, with both players returning for the final match, Spain is expected to perform better than in the semifinals. Robin Le Normand is in great form, providing dynamic and competent play in the center of defense, unlike Nacho Fernández.
Additionally, Daniel Carvajal’s return will greatly benefit Spain, as he provides solid defensive play in 1v1 situations and strong offensive support. When Lamine Yamal shifts to the center, Carvajal’s quick runs down the flank and dangerous crosses into the penalty area will be valuable for the team.
With the team expected to be at full strength, there is no doubt that Spain will be the favorite when facing England in the final.
| Recent Form | WWWWW |
| Key Players to Watch | Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, Rodri, Dani Olmo |
| Team Strengths | Very balanced roster, with great cohesion. |
| Team Weaknesses | Attacking players are not always willing to be disciplined in defence. |
After defeating the Netherlands in the semi-final, the English FA decided to ask Gareth Southgate to stay with the England squad regardless of the final result and prepare them for the 2026 World Cup.
Following their victory, many English journalists who had previously criticized the national team’s coaching staff began to praise Southgate. This change in attitude is due to the excitement of reaching the final of Euro 2024.
Surprisingly, few people realize that despite having one of the strongest squads in the tournament, the England national team struggled to advance from an easy group and faced significant challenges in the early stages of the playoffs.
Despite their strong squad, England was on the brink of elimination by a weak Slovakia, and only a fantastic goal by Jude Bellingham saved them. Subsequently, England struggled to create scoring opportunities and barely made it to a penalty shootout against Switzerland, where luck was on their side.
In the match against the Netherlands, England produced only 30 minutes of attacking football with a few dangerous chances. The first goal came from a controversial penalty, and after the Dutch coaching staff made several tactical changes, England managed only one shot on goal, which resulted in Ollie Watkins’s winning goal.
This tournament has been a failure for England in terms of the quality of their attacking play.
Despite this, the English FA values Gareth Southgate as a defensive coach, which has helped the team avoid defensive mistakes. However, they did allow dangerous attacks from Slovakia, but for the most part, their defensive struggles have been minimal due to a lack of risky passes and attacking transitions.
In the final of Euro 2024, England will likely play cautiously, relying on individual skills for attack, just as they did in the final of Euro 2020. However, recent successful teams like Spain, Italy, and Argentina have shown that a more balanced and structured attacking style can still be successful.
Whether England fans are willing to continue watching talented players constrained by a tactical system that limits their abilities remains a significant question.
| Recent Form | WWWDD |
| Key Players to Watch | Bukayo Saka, Kyle Walker, Jude Bellingham |
| Team Strengths | One of the strongest squads in the tournament |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of creativity, lack of attacking ideas |
The rivalry between Spain and England dates back to the 1950 World Cup, where Spain secured a 1-0 victory.Over the years, the two teams have faced each other in several memorable encounters, each side winning four matches and drawing twice.
Their most recent clashes occurred in 2018 when both teams exchanged away victories. First, the Spanish beat the English 2-1 away, and then England beat Spain 3-2 at the Benito Villamarin Stadium in Seville.
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Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo played crucial roles in Spain’s playoff victories against Germany and France. Yamal is renowned for his exceptional ball control, which makes his dribbling, passing, and shooting incredibly precise and technical. While he may not possess blistering speed or the ability to win aerial duels, his strengths can still significantly impact tough opponents.
Dani Olmo, who unexpectedly emerged as a standout star in the playoffs, will likely have less space to operate against England’s 5-4-1 formation. England’s defensive strategy focuses on closing down the support zone in front of their penalty area, which could stifle Olmo’s creative play.
Luis De La Fuente’s flexible positional play in a 4-2-1-3/4-2-4/2-3-5 hybrid formation allows the players to maximize their potential in quick vertical attacks, and we may witness assists or goals from Lamine Yamal and Dani Olmo in the final.
In the England squad, few players have stood out in Euro 2024 due to Southgate’s cautious approach. However, Bukayo Saka and Kyle Walker, in a 3-4-3 formation, can pose a threat on the right flank and create numerical superiority over the Spanish on the left flank, especially as Nico Williams is not always reliable in providing high-quality defense.
Spain’s 4-2-1-3 formation is designed to outnumber England in the central zone and create 3-on-3 situations in fast attacks against England’s back three.
Meanwhile, England, using a 3-4-3 or 3-2-5 formation, can gain a numerical advantage on the flanks with a 3v2 situation or in the center with a 4v3 advantage. They can also create a 5v4 superiority in the attacking line against Spain’s four defenders.
In this tactical battle, both teams will have opportunities for dangerous attacks due to the contrasting nature of their formations. This clash of styles will make it difficult for both teams to adapt defensively.
Spain has won all of their matches, including victories over the other two main contenders. In the final, Spain will field in their main squad, bringing their characteristic high press and quick attacking play to test the English defense thoroughly.
However, the Spaniards may face some challenges against England’s defensive setup and the tactical strengths of the 3-4-3 formation. Therefore, my UEFA EURO 2024 prediction for the final is that Spain will not lose.
Given the high caliber of attackers on both sides, we can expect more than one goal in this match.
Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all UEFA EURO 2024 predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.
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