Samsunspor welcome Fenerbahçe to Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadium in Süper Lig Matchday 3, with the visitors arriving after qualifying for the Champions League for the first time since 2007/08.

Samsunspor’s Home Threat Comes With a Long Injury List

Samsunspor have taken four points from their opening two league matches, following a 3-3 draw with Göztepe by winning 2-0 at Rizespor. Their preparations are complicated by injuries to Marius Mouandilmadji, Afonso Sousa, Elayis Tavsan and Igor Drapiński, while Antoine Makoumbou is also a fitness doubt.

Fatih Kaya therefore carries greater attacking responsibility after scoring once in two league appearances, and the Red Lightning have found the net in four of their last five in all competitions. They also held Fenerbahçe 0-0 in this fixture last season.

Samsunspor predicted lineup vs Fenerbahçe (4-3-3): Kocuk; Mendes, Diabaté, Guarino, Tómasson; Yüksel, Watt, Kayan; Kılınç, Kaya, Jarju.

Fenerbahçe’s Firepower Offsets Their Own Absences

Fenerbahçe have won three of their last five matches in all competitions, including Wednesday’s 1-2 win at Lyon and a 4-2 league victory over Konyaspor. The Lyon victory saw them qualify for the Champions League after 18 years.

Mason Greenwood scored twice against Konyaspor and already has two league goals from 1.29 xG, giving him the decisive matchup against a Samsunspor defence missing several options.

Sarı Kanaryalar also have absences, with Marco Asensio, Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Mert Günok and Jayden Oosterwolde among those currently unavailable. Even so, their attack has scored seven times across the last three games.

Fenerbahçe predicted lineup vs Samsunspor (4-3-3): Çetin; Semedo, Aké, Müldür, Mercan; Guendouzi, Yüksek, Kahveci; Aydın, Talisca, Greenwood.

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction

Safe Tip: Fenerbahçe or Draw
Odds: 1.2 (22Bet)
Correct score prediction: Samsunspor 1-2 Fenerbahçe
22Bet Booking Code: NKKSG

Key stats:

  • Fenerbahçe won three of their last five competitive matches.
  • Samsunspor have beaten Sarı Kanaryalar only once in their last ten H2Hs.
  • Fenerbahçe have scored seven goals across their latest three fixtures.

Sarı Kanaryalar followed their 4-2 win against Konyaspor by beating Lyon 1-2 away. Samsunspor’s eight-player injury list significantly reduces Thomas Reis’ options for a match against one of Türkiye’s strongest squads.

The H2H makes the double chance even stronger. The Red Lightning have only one victory in their last ten meetings, while Fenerbahçe won the latest encounter 3-2 after both teams produced five shots on target. The visitors will be motivated after defeating Lyon, and can be expected to claim at least one point here.

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Value Tip

Value Tip: GG - Yes
Odds: 1.63 (22Bet)
22Bet Booking Code: S8LSG

BTTS at 1.63 implies approximately a 61% probability, and recent attacking numbers support that price. Fenerbahçe’s last four matches have produced 14 goals, with both teams scoring in three. Samsunspor’s 3-3 draw with Göztepe showed their ability to create chances without controlling the game.

Samsunspor are without multiple first-team options, while Sarı Kanaryalar have injuries affecting their defensive depth and have conceded five goals across their opening two league matches. The most recent H2H finished 3-2 to Fenerbahçe, and another open contest makes 1.63 attractive.

Verdict: Fenerbahçe or Draw (1.2) - Samsunspor 1-2 Fenerbahçe.