Beşiktaş will host newly promoted Çorum FK at Tüpraş Stadium Süper Lig Matchday 3, needing a response after losing their last two meetings without scoring.
Beşiktaş’ Perfect Home Record Can Spark a Response
Beşiktaş have won all four competitive home matches this season without conceding, including 1-0 against Eyüpspor and 3-0 against Kauno Žalgiris. Vincenzo Italiano’s side have since lost 1-0 at Alanyaspor and Kauno, making attacking improvement the priority against promoted opposition.
Leandro Trossard is doubtful, but Kara Kartallar still possess the individual quality to expose a Çorum defence that allowed Galatasaray 38 attempts and 2.90 xG on Matchday 1.
Beşiktaş predicted lineup vs Çorum FK (4-1-4-1): Nubel; Murillo, Djalo, Topcu, Rıdvan Yılmaz; Ozcan; Cerny, Olaitan, Kokcu, Rashica; Vlahovic.
Çorum Have Already Shown They Can Trouble the Elite
Çorum’s first-ever Süper Lig campaign began with an impressive 2-2 draw away to champions Galatasaray, despite losing Alexandros Kiziridis to a 70th-minute red card. Their underlying numbers were less convincing, however: Galatasaray generated 2.90 xG, held 65% possession and won the shot count 38-8.
Red Lightnings then lost 1-0 at home to Kasımpaşa, leaving them with one point and two goals after two rounds. Kiziridis’ suspension removes an important attacking option, while doubts over Sinan Osmanoğlu further complicate Serkan Özbalta’s task against a Beşiktaş side yet to concede at home.
Çorum FK predicted lineup vs Beşiktaş (4-1-4-1): Marcos Felipe; Borza, Smolčić, Penetra, Sazdagi; Ozdemir; Diomande, Fredy, Karlsbakk, Gurler; Ramirez Diaz.
Beşiktaşvs Çorum FK Prediction
Safe Tip: Beşiktaş to Win
Odds: 1.44 (22Bet)
Correct score prediction: Beşiktaş 3-0 Çorum FK
22Bet Booking Code: GDTH6
Key stats:
- Beşiktaş have won all four competitive home matches this season without conceding.
- Çorum have taken one point from their two opening Süper Lig matches.
- Galatasaray generated 2.90 xG and 38 shots against Red Lightnings.
Beşiktaş to win at 1.44 is the logical play. Their two recent 1-0 away defeats are concerning, but the home numbers tell a completely different story: four competitive matches at Tüpraş Stadium have brought four victories, six goals and four clean sheets.
Çorum showed courage in their 2-2 draw with Galatasaray, but conceding 2.90 xG and 38 attempts exposes how difficult another Istanbul trip can become. They then failed to score against Kasımpaşa, while Beşiktaş have allowed zero goals across four competitive home games. The hosts are favourites to win.
Beşiktaşvs Çorum FK Prediction, Value Tip
Value Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.80 (22Bet)
22Bet Booking Code: 29TH6
Çorum’s underlying defensive numbers make over 2.5 goals attractive. Galatasaray created 2.90 xG against the newcomers, while Beşiktaş demonstrated their own ceiling with three goals against Kauno Žalgiris in their most recent home appearance.
The market appears influenced by Kara Kartallar's run of four 1-0 results across their last five matches, but this is a major drop in opposition quality after European qualifiers and an away at Alanyaspor.
Çorum conceded twice at Galatasaray despite the champions needing a stoppage-time equaliser, and their defensive absences increase the chance of Beşiktaş turning territorial control into three goals themselves.
Verdict: Beşiktaş to Win (1.445) - Beşiktaş 3-0 Çorum FK.
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