Predictions

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 05.11.2024

  • Date and Time: 05.11.2024, 21:00 GMT+1
  • Venue: Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain
Odds via 22bet
Real Madrid vs AC Milan November 5, 20:00 GMT+1
Real Madrid odds 1.45
AC Milan  odds 6.66
Draw 4.9
Over\Under Total 2,5: 1.44/2.44

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Preview

Real Madrid

Real Madrid’s week was shaken by two events during the week. The first was on Monday, as the team expected Vinícius Júnior to win the Ballon d’Or. 

However, Manchester City’s Rodri won the trophy instead, which led Real Madrid to boycott the ceremony. The club claimed it felt “disrespected” as they believed Vinicius deserved to win. 

A majority of Real Madrid’s players mentioned Vinícius Jr in their social media as “the best”, while some players, including Eduardo Camavinga and Éder Militão, claimed the decision was influenced by “football politics”. Some sources claim they believe Dani Carvajal should’ve won the award if it wasn’t going to be Vini Jr. 

The other news concerned the floods in Valencia, which caused several hundred casualties. Real Madrid donated about four million euros in response to the cause. Last Saturday’s match at the Mestalla between Valencia and Real Madrid was also postponed due to the situation.

Los Blancos suffered a significant 0-4 defeat against Barcelona at the Bernabéu. The team could not get past Hansi Flick’s offside trap, with Mbappé getting caught in it several times. 

After the loss against Lille in the Champions League, a victory is a must against AC Milan. The team needs to regain its form after the debacle against Barcelona, a symbol of shame for Carlo Ancelotti as fans are becoming impatient with his work this season.

Recent Form LWWWL
Key Player to Watch Vinícius Júnior
Team Strengths Talented individuals in the frontline, often great in the second half and talented squad.
Team Weaknesses Lack of defending in the midfield, pressing easy to bypass, lack of sustained pressure. lack of patterns in the final third.
Key injuries and suspensions. Thibaut Courtois, Dani Carvajal, David Alaba, Rodrygo

AC Milan

Paulo Fonseca hasn’t been at the club for too long  after succeeding Stefano Pioli, but he’s got little to show for. 

Milan defeated Monza (0-1), with Tijjani Reijnders scoring the winning goal in the 43rd minute. Milan is currently 7th in Serie A, reflecting Fonseca’s failure to build a functional team. 

Only Reijnders and Pulisic have benefitted from the managerial change, becoming the spine of the team’s build-up. However, the rest of the team has barely improved. 

AC Milan have suffered defeats to Napoli, Fiorentina, and Parma. One of the few good results this season was the derby victory against Inter (2-1). The fanbase remains furious, notably as superstar Rafael Leão and Fonseca have reportedly clashed, which could result in the forward’s exit.

Recent Form LWWLW
Key Player to Watch Christian Pulisic
Team Strengths Balanced team, excellent winger in Leão, fluid transitions.
Team Weaknesses Lack of cohesion between profiles, leaky defense.
Key injuries and suspensions. Matteo Gabbia, Alessandro Florenzi, Ismael Bennacer, Luka Jović

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Statistics

The two clubs have a long history of success in the Champions League and have met numerous times in European competitions. 

They played against each other fifteen times, with a perfect balance: Both have won six times whilst drawing thrice. 

However, the two giants haven’t met since the 2010/11 Champions League season, as AC Milan struggled to rebuild their team for an entire decade. 

The last encounter, in Milano, ended in a 2-2 draw. Those were the times when Ronaldinho still played football. Inzaghi scored twice for the hosts, while Higuaín and León scored for Real Madrid.

Real Madrid won the return encounter in Madrid (2-0) with the help of Mesut Özil and Cristiano Ronaldo. Milan last won in 2009 at the Santiago Bernabéu (2-3). Pato scored a brace, and Andrea Pirlo scored for the Italians, while Raúl and Drenthe scored for Real Madrid.  

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Real Madrid vs AC Milan Player Focus

After Vinícius Júnior didn’t win the Ballon d’Or this year, his tweet implied he will work harder than ever to claim it next year. 

As Kylian Mbappé has struggled to adapt to La Liga’s rhythm, while Rodrygo is currently injured, there’s no doubt Vinícius will be the most important threat from Real Madrid’s side. He has been the leader of the attack since Benzema left for Saudi Arabia. Fortunately for him, defending is not one of Milan’s virtues. The team has rarely kept a clean sheet since the arrival of Paulo Fonseca. 

For Milan, it’s a tough choice between Reijnders and Christian Pulisic. I personally opt for Pulisic, as he’s in the centre of everything. If there’s one man Real Madrid need to look for, it’s the American. Leão would be the logical choice, but he needs a clear head – which he currently doesn’t have, due to his feud with coach Paulo Fonseca.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Analysis

I previously mentioned that Milan isn’t great at defending, and therefore, the match could produce multiple goals because Real Madrid doesn’t defend well either. 

Ferland Mendy has been a liability in possession since his arrival, and Dani Carvajal’s ACL injury affected Ancelotti’s plans. 

Additionally, Real Madrid’s pressing has been dysfunctional ever since Kylian Mbappé arrived. This means that Real Madrid now have a numerical deficit out of possession. The midfield has also struggled to keep the ball, especially following Toni Kroos’s retirement.

As the game will be played at the Bernabéu, Real Madrid will benefit from the support of the home crowd. Playing at home also means that Real Madrid is likely to take the initiative and dominate possession, while AC Milan will look to minimise risks. 

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Prediction

  • Football pick: Real Madrid to win
  • Odds: 1.45 (22Bet)
  • Score prediction: Real Madrid 3-0 AC Milan

The game is likely to see goals flying, as both teams need a victory. AC Milan recently suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat to Liverpool, adding to a challenging few weeks for the Rossoneri. Real Madrid, on the other hand, need a victory more than ever after the defeat to Lille (1-0). 

If anyone will be leading the game, it would be Los Blancos at the legendary Santiago Bernabéu. Théo Hernández, despite being a talented attacking full-back, often leaves spaces behind him, something Real Madrid will be eager to exploit.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan Betting Tip

  • Football Pick: Vinícius Júnior to score
  • Odds: 1.952 (22Bet)

After fifteen years, the two teams meet again in the Champions League at the Santiago Bernabéu. Goals will be a certainty, and Vinícius Júnior will be looking to add to his tally.

Vinícius is more determined than ever to show that his football leads the club and the world. AC Milan, as much as any other team, struggles against this type of player, and it’s therefore expected to see Vinicius Jr on the score sheet. 

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all football predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.

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