| Odds via 22bet | |
| Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés | September 24, 18:30 GMT+1 |
| Real Madrid odds | 1.85 |
| Deportivo Alavés odds | 7 |
| Draw | 14 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.48/2.33 |
The defending champions extended their winning streak with a 4-1 win against Espanyol, but their first-half struggles persisted.
Ancelotti has voiced concern over the team’s inability to score early, as Madrid has only netted once in the opening half across all games in the 24/25 La Liga season.
Nevertheless, Vinicius Jr was pivotal in the win, outplaying defenders with his dribbling. Mbappé had multiple chances but only found the net from a penalty.
Espanyol took advantage of a mistake by Courtois to score in the first half. However, Real Madrid responded with Carvajal’s equalizer before dominating the second half, punishing Espanyol’s defensive mistakes.
| Recent Form | DWWWW |
| Key Player to Watch | Rodrygo |
| Team Strengths | Speed and athletic endurance, attacking firepower and individual talent |
| Team Weaknesses | No cohesive patterns, defense remains shaky |
| Key injuries and suspensions. | David Alaba, Eduardo Camavinga, Dani Ceballos, Brahim Díaz, |
Following their 3-2 loss to Espanyol, Alavés bounced back with a 2-1 victory over Sevilla. Alavés’ intensity overwhelmed Sevilla from the start, a fact acknowledged by Sevilla coach García Pimienta.
Alavés scored early and dominated the match, while Pimienta’s failure to make adjustments at halftime proved costly.
Alavés coach Luis García Plaza was pleased with his team’s performance but noted they could have scored more, especially in the first half. Plaza praised the effort and passion his side demonstrated – values that are central to Alavés’ identity.
| Recent Form | DWWLW |
| Key Player to Watch | Carlos Martín |
| Team Strengths | Intensity, organization in defensive block, efficient transitions |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of individual quality and clinical finishing |
| Key injuries and suspensions. | Hugo Novoa |
This will be the 39th meeting between the two sides. Real Madrid have a dominant record with 31 wins, Alavés have five victories, and only two draws have occurred. Real Madrid has won the last five encounters, with Alavés’ last victory dating back to 2020. The most recent match saw Madrid cruise to a 5-0 win.
While it would be tempting to focus on Mbappé, he is still adjusting to La Liga. Despite getting several opportunities, his conversion rate hasn’t been impressive.
Instead, the spotlight should be on Vinicius Jr. If he recovers in time for the match, Vinicius Jr will be critical for Madrid. Against Espanyol, he demonstrated his ability to break through defences with his dribbling, providing an essential spark in Real Madrid’s attack.
With Madrid relying heavily on individual moments rather than cohesive team play, our football prediction analysis indicates that Vinicius’ performance could be decisive.
Deportivo Alavés is unlikely to replicate the same intensity they displayed against Sevilla when facing Real Madrid. Unlike García Pimienta’s team, Madrid will apply constant pressure, forcing Alavés deeper into their own half.
Alavés cannot afford to play a high defensive line like they did against Sevilla. This would give Vinicius Jr, Jude Bellingham, and Kylian Mbappé too much space to exploit with their speedy runs.
A crucial element for Madrid in breaking Alavés’ defensive block will be the roles of Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo, who both are highly effective between the lines.
Rodrygo, in particular, has shown how his introduction can change the dynamic against teams defending deep. While he might not be as fast as some of his teammates, his vision allows him to navigate through compact defences with ease.
Most La Liga teams have found it challenging to contain Real Madrid’s attack for a full 90 minutes, especially as fatigue sets in.
However, many sides have managed to compete well in the first half, something that Alavés coach Luis García Plaza will likely aim to replicate. Maintaining this level of discipline will be key for Alavés if they hope to contain Madrid’s firepower, especially in the opening 45 minutes.
Alavés may have temporarily climbed to fifth place, but it’s unlikely they will stay there for long.
Real Madrid, with their hunger for victory and support from a home crowd, are expected to dominate this must-win encounter. Despite some inconsistency in their build-up play and lack of a fully cohesive starting XI, Madrid’s talent is simply overwhelming for most teams.
With Alavés likely to spend much of the game defending, the significant gap in quality will eventually take its toll. As Alavés’ intensity drops, Real Madrid will find the breakthrough.
It may seem like an obvious prediction, but there’s little that can be done against such a level of attacking firepower – something all of La Liga has experienced. Sooner or later, a defensive lapse is inevitable as players lose focus.
Few teams are as dangerous as Real Madrid – except perhaps Real Madrid playing at home. The defending champions will approach this match full of confidence after their 4-1 win over Espanyol, even though they struggled to score in the first half.
With Ancelotti intent on addressing this issue, a fast goal seems likely, despite the intensity and effort Alavés has shown so far this season. Many teams may appear strong and organized, but very few can handle 1v1 situations against players like Vinicius Jr, Bellingham, and Rodrygo.
Alavés will likely become the latest team to fall victim to Madrid’s attacking firepower. Therefore, our free football prediction suggests Real Madrid to score more than 2.25 as a solid bet.
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