Poland and Romania are both at risk of relegation from Nations League Group B4. The two sides clash at the Stadion Narodowy in Warsaw on matchday three.

Poland hoping Lewandowski can inspire first win

With just one point and one goal so far in this Nations League campaign, there is plenty of room for improvement from Poland. Jan Urban is expected to make changes following a 3-1 defeat in Sweden on Monday.

Robert Lewandowski was rested for that game and should return in attack. The legendary striker has netted 89 times in 169 appearances for his national team. He has also scored six times in 11 MLS outings for his new club Chicago Fire.

The hosts have been hit by an injury setback, with key midfielder Jakub Kamiński needing to pull out of the squad. Sebastian Szymański grabbed a goal last time out and should continue in support of Lewandowski.

Poland predicted lineup vs Romania (3-4-2-1): Bułka; Wiśniewski, Bednarek, Kiwior; Cash, Slisz, Zieliński, Puchacz; Szymański, Zalewski; Lewandowski.

Romania to ring the changes after conceding four

Defensive problems have contributed to Romania’s slow start to this group. A 4-2 home defeat against Bosnia and Herzegovina was a fresh setback for Gheorghe Hagi, although he did rotate heavily in that match.

The likes of Andrei Rațiu, Radu Drăgușin, Nicușor Bancu, Răzvan Marin and Ianis Hagi should return to the lineup in Warsaw. However, Dennis Man remains a fitness doubt, and Denis Drăguș has already pulled out of the squad due to injury.

Daniel Bîrligea will be hoping to keep his place up top after scoring on Monday. That was his third strike in 10 international appearances, although the 26-year-old has only clocked up 12 minutes of action so far this term in Serie A for Frosinone.

Romania predicted lineup vs Poland (4-2-3-1): Radu; Rațiu, Drăgușin, Coubiș, Bancu; R. Marin, Screciu; Olaru, Stanciu, I. Hagi; Bîrligea.

Poland vs Romania Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Poland to score next goal 1
  • Odds: 1.44 (22Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Poland 2-1 Romania
  • 22Bet Booking Code: 2M2QT

Key stats:

  • Poland have scored 10 goals across their past three meetings with Romania.
  • All of the last three clashes between these sides have been won by the Biało-Czerwoni.
  • Romania have conceded first in five of their six games in 2026.

It has been a challenging year for Romania, who have lost four of their six fixtures. They’ve gone eight games without a clean sheet, with even minnows San Marino taking the lead against them in just the second minute of a World Cup qualifier last November.

Leaking early goals continues to be a problem for Hagi’s men. They conceded three times before the interval against Bosnia and Herzegovina in their most recent outing. Given that, backing Poland to score first in this match is a smart move.

Poland vs Romania Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value Tip: Both teams to score
  • Odds: 1.84 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: 3LBQT

With some important players like Lewandowski returning, both sides should ask questions in attack. Backing each team to get on the scoresheet offers value at odds of 1.84.

That has been a winning bet in six of the last eight Poland games. Each of the previous four Romania fixtures has also delivered goals for both teams.

Verdict: Poland to score next goal 1 (1.44) — Poland 2-1 Romania