Sweden welcome Poland to Strawberry Arena in Solna for UEFA Nations League B Matchday 2. Graham Potter's side have three points, while Poland arrive with one after their opening draw.
Sweden Remain Unbeaten in Four Home Matches
Sweden opened their Nations League campaign with a 2-1 victory over Romania, recording 60% possession, 11 shots and two big chances. Viktor Gyökeres scored, and Yasin Ayari provided an assist, while the defence limited Romania to just one shot on target.
Graham Potter's side are unbeaten in four home internationals, with two victories.
Alexander Isak is listed as unavailable with a thigh injury, while Anthony Elanga, Emil Holm, Gustaf Lagerbielke and Isak Hien are also injury concerns.
Sweden predicted lineup vs Poland (4-4-2): Johansson; Svensson, Starfelt, Lindelöf, Stroud; Nygren, Bergvall, Ayari, Bernhardsson; Gyökeres, Swedberg.
Poland's Four-Match Winless Run Raises Questions
Poland began with a 0-0 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina, producing 14 attempts, four shots on target and just 0.73 xG. Their final delivery was particularly disappointing, with only two of 19 crosses finding a teammate.
Jan Urban's team have now gone four matches without a win, failing to score in two of their last three. Robert Lewandowski remains their central attacking threat, supported by Sebastian Szymański and Piotr Zieliński, although Jakub Kamiński is doubtful and Filip Rózga is injured.
Poland predicted lineup vs Sweden (4-4-1-1): Bułka; Cash, Potulski, Bednarek, Kiwior; Skoras, Slisz, Zieliński, Zalewski; Szymański; Lewandowski.
Sweden vs Poland Prediction
Safe Tip: Sweden or Draw
Odds: 1.36 (22Bet)
Correct score prediction: Sweden 2-1 Poland
22Bet Booking Code: 8D716
Key stats:
- Sweden are unbeaten in their last four home internationals.
- Poland have failed to win their previous four matches.
- Sweden have won six of the last eight competitive H2Hs against Poland.
Sweden or Draw at 1.36 is the safe tip. Potter's side have already collected three Nations League points, and their defensive display against Romania was encouraging, allowing just one shot on target. Poland produced only 0.73 xG against Bosnia despite attempting 14 shots.
The H2H strengthens the home selection, with Sweden winning six of the previous eight competitive meetings. Their four-match unbeaten home sequence also provides protection against Poland's individual quality, particularly Robert Lewandowski.
Sweden vs Poland Prediction, Value Tip
Value Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.67 (22Bet)
22Bet Booking Code: 8Z716
Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is the value tip, supported by Sweden's recent scoring patterns. Eight of their previous nine matches have exceeded 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in nine of their last ten. Sweden have also gone 16 consecutive matches without keeping a clean sheet, making another open contest a reasonable expectation.
Poland's 0-0 opening result makes the pick particularly interesting. Urban's side still generated 14 attempts against Bosnia, while Sweden converted two chances from only 0.83 xG against Romania. The teams' memorable 3-2 meeting at Euro 2020 provides another example of this fixture's attacking potential.
Verdict: Sweden or Draw (1.36) - Sweden 2-1 Poland.