Lithuania host Azerbaijan at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno Stadium on September 27 in Nations League D2. This is Azerbaijan’s first official match in this window, while Lithuania have established 1 victory so far.

Lithuania Arrive With Two Wins in Five

From June 11, 2024, to March 26, 2026, Lithuania haven’t won a single game (12 losses, 5 draws). Yet, in their last five they have won two, drawn one and lost two, with one of those wins coming in extra time against Latvia.

Lithuania do not have any issues with injuries; their full squad is available for this match. Armandas Kučys (Celje) leads the attack, while Gvidas Gineitis (Torino) and Lukas Michelbrink (Energie Cottbus) provide the main midfield threat.

No squad or formation changes are expected from the Liechtenstein match, where they dominated for 90 minutes — 73% possession, 14 shots, seven on target — and won 2-0 away.

Lithuania predicted lineup vs Azerbaijan (4-3-3): Bartkus; Širvys, Kažukolovas, Utkus, Tutyškinas; Gineitis, Vorobjovas, Michelbrink; Lasickas, Kučys, Jankauskas.

Azerbaijan Arrive on a Four-Win Run

Azerbaijan went 16 matches without a win between 5 September 2024 and 27 March 2026, losing 13 and drawing three. Yet, in the last five matches (from March 27 this year), Azerbaijan recorded 4 wins and 1 loss (0-2 against Malta at home).

Abdulla Khaybulayev is expected to recover in time despite the injury he sustained against Tajikistan, while head coach Aykhan Abbasov will make a late call on Mahir Emreli. Captain Emin Mahmudov has 63 caps and 16 international goals, adding proven experience and a reliable midfield threat.

Azerbaijan predicted lineup vs Lithuania (3-5-2): Balayev; T. Bayramov, Mammadov, B. Guseynov; Isayev, Mahmudov, Khaybulayev, Sadykhov, Badalov; Emreli, Dadasov.

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Total under 2.5 goals
  • Odds: 1.51 (22Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan
  • 22Bet Booking Code: HCYZL

Key Facts

  • Lithuania have scored five goals in their last five matches, exactly one per game
  • All five of those matches finished under 2.5 goals
  • Azerbaijan have scored 13 in their last 10, but six came in a single match

Lithuania’s attacking output has been limited to five goals across their last five matches, an average of exactly one per game. That lack of consistent scoring gives Azerbaijan a realistic chance of keeping the total below three goals if they maintain their defensive shape.

Azerbaijan have averaged 1.3 goals across their last 10 matches, but six of those 13 came in one game, a 6-1 win over St Lucia. Strip that out and they have scored seven in nine, under 0.8 per match.

The head-to-head supports it. The sides have met three times: 0-0 in 2019, 1-0 to Lithuania in 2008, and [scoreline] in 1998. Only the 1998 meeting went over 2.5 goals.

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value tip: Draw
  • Odds: 3.07 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: QVHAM

The draw at around 3.07 offers value because the two sides enter the game with limited attacking momentum. Lithuania have scored only five goals across their last five matches, while Azerbaijan's recent scoring has been modest once the 6-1 against St Lucia is set aside. Their most recent meeting finished 0-0.

Verdict: Under 2.5 goals - Lithuania 1-1 Azerbaijan