Lille vs Real Madrid Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 02.10.2024

• Date and Time: October 2, 20:00 GMT+1
• Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille, France

Lille vs Real Madrid Preview

Lille

Lille have been performing well in their domestic championship, but they have already suffered a 2-0 defeat against Sporting in the Champions League. Bruno Genesio’s team also experienced many problems in the qualifiers, barely managing to overcome Fenerbahce and Slavia Prague. 

Defensively, Lille has shown vulnerabilities, conceding seven goals in six Ligue 1 matches. However, the home-field factor against Real Madrid could be a key advantage for Lille. Last season, Lille only lost 2 out of 24 home matches, showing how strong they can be on their own turf.

Jonathan David is again Lille’s main player. The 24-year-old Canadian forward has five goals in six Ligue 1 matches. However, the team will miss Angel Gomes due to his suspension, which could weaken their midfield options in this high-stakes encounter.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid are pursuing their ambition to become the first winners of the new Champions League edition, and the signing of Kylian Mbappé has only fueled this optimism. However, some of Real Madrid’s performances this season have drawn criticism. Matches against Las Palmas and Mallorca, for instance, left fans and analysts underwhelmed.

Despite the victory, the match against Stuttgart in the opening round of the Champions League was not convincing. To illustrate, in the first half, the Swabians completely outplayed Los Blancos, and by the end of the match, they had generated an expected goals (xG) of 2.14, showing Real Madrid’s vulnerabilities in certain areas.

Under Carlo Ancelotti, Real Madrid has made effective use of the speed of their attackers, often opting to give away possession and focus on launching dangerous counterattacks. This strategy could be crucial against Lille, a team known to struggle with defending against quick transitions. Ancelotti will surely aim to exploit this weakness. 

A big loss for Real Madrid is the injury of Thibaut Courtois in the back, while the absence of Kylian Mbappé will also impact the team’s offensive firepower.

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Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction

• Pick: Real Madrid to Win (-1.5) Handicap
• Odds: 2.41 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Lille 1-3 Real Madrid

Lille’s chances of a positive result are slim. They were inferior in the opener against Sporting and lost 0-2 without any major chances. 

Bruno Genesio’s team has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 1.18 goals per game. This inability to handle counterattacks effectively could prove costly against a team like Real Madrid, spearheaded by the blistering pace of Vinicius Jr. and Rodrygo.

We don’t expect serious resistance from Lille and anticipate a convincing victory from the guests. Our pick is Real Madrid to win with a handicap (-1.5). 

Lille vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: Vinicius to Score
• Odds: 2.40 (22Bet)

Vinicius Junior has recorded three goals and four assists in eight La Liga games. Given Mbappe’s absence, the Brazilian will lead Madrid’s attacks, while Rodrygo and Jude Bellingham will support him.

Vinicius’ finishing, once considered a weakness, has improved significantly over the last couple of seasons. Even when given a minor chance, the winger effectively converts his opportunities. 

Considering that Lille often concede after counterattacks at the start of the season, the Brazilian winger will certainly get his chances. Our second pick in this encounter would be – Vinicius to score anytime.

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