| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Hoffenheim vs Mainz | April 12, 2025. 14:30 GMT+1 |
| Hoffenheim odds | 2.82 |
| Mainz odds | 2.43 |
| Draw | 3.46 |
| Over/Under | Total 2,5: 1.74/2.09 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
It promises to be a nervy end to the season for Hoffenheim, as they continue to battle for points at the wrong end of the Bundesliga standings. They come into this round after going four without a win, and suffering defeats in two of their last three.
That leaves them just five points above the relegation playoff position in the league standings.
A major issue behind their struggles this season has been their lack of clinical edge in the final third, netting 28 goals from an xG of 30.69. They have also struggled defensively throughout the campaign after allowing 40 open-play goals from an xGA of 42.04.
Muhammed Damar returns from suspension this weekend. Diadie Samassekou and Alexander Prass could also be fit enough to feature after returning to training. However, Ozan Kabak, Ihlas Bebou, and Grischa Prömel all remain out.
Hoffenheim predicted lineup vs Mainz (4-2-3-1): Baumann; Gendrey, Chaves, Lenz, Nsoki; Bischof, Stach; Toure, Kramaric, Orban; Tabakovic.
The pressure will be increasing on Mainz as they bid to achieve an unlikely finish in the Champions League spots. They have gone three matches without a win in the Bundesliga, and they are now just a point clear of RB Leipzig. Mainz have played out two draws in their last three matches.
A key factor of their success this season has been their clinical nature in front of goal after scoring 39 times from an open play xG of 35.73. They have also defended excellently, outperforming their xGA metric of 31.23 after allowing 19 goals.
Dominik Kohr returns from suspension this weekend. However, Nadiem Amiri will serve a one-game ban. The injured duo of Stefan Bell and Niklas Tauer could return to the matchday squad.
Mainz predicted lineup vs Hoffenheim (3-4-2-1): Zentner; da Costa, Jenz, Hanche-Olsen; Caci, Sano, Tauer, Mwene; Nebel, Lee; Burkardt.
Bet hereThis could be a perfect opportunity for Mainz to bounce back to winning ways. Their returning players will be a major plus for this weekend.
It is also hard to ignore their head-to-head dominance before making a Hoffenheim vs Mainz prediction, as the visitors have won three of the last four meetings between the sides.
It could also be worth noting that they have kept clean sheets in three of their last five victories against Hoffenheim.
The Bundesliga stats indicate that Hoffenheim and Mainz rank among the teams that average the lowest corners per game. Mainz averages 4.39 corners per 90, while Hoffenheim averages 4.86.
Under 9.5 corners could be a solid chance as Mainz have won over 9.5 corners in just 54% of their matches this season.
Meanwhile, both teams not to score could be an interesting selection. Hoffenheim have failed to score in 29% of their Bundesliga matches this season, while Mainz have kept clean sheets in an impressive 32% of their fixtures.
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