Germany have been inconsistent recently. In the last friendly against Ukraine, they pressed the opponents but did not make progress, ending the match in a 0-0 draw. The stats this year have been awkward for the hosts, scoring 21 goals and conceding 20, with losses against Belgium, Poland, Colombia, and Japan.
Even after changing the coaching staff, Germany suffered defeats to Turkey and Austria. In total, between 2023 and 2024, they won five out of 14 friendlies (36%).
However, Germany have a promising squad with talents such as Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala and Leroy Sane. For Manuel Neuer, this will likely be his last Euro competition and Toni Kroos is set to retire at the end of the season.
Greece came close to qualifying for Euro 2024. In their qualifying group, they finished in third position, losing to the Netherlands and France in Group B. This was a natural result and the Greeks made the most of their opportunities, beating Ireland and Gibraltar.
Over eight rounds, Greece scored 14 goals and conceded 8, which brought them four wins, one draw and three defeats. In the playoffs, Greece defeated Kazakhstan in the semi-finals with a 5-0 score, but in the decisive match, they lost to Georgia on penalties.
Bet hereGermany scored an average of 1.89 goals per match at home. Greece, on the other hand, did not allow their opponents to score more than 0.8 goals on the road. Their defence includes representatives from the Italian Serie A (Pantelis Chatzidiakos from Cagliari) and the English Premier League (Kostas Tsimikas from Liverpool and Konstantinos Mavropanos from West Ham).
Added to that, as seen in the game against Ukraine, Germany struggled to convert their chances effectively. Most of their attacks were based on crosses which frequently turned out to be unsuccessful.
Given these statistics, it is reasonable to assume that the hosts will not be able to score three goals, as evidenced by the statistics. A reasonable pick would be to choose Germany’s individual total of under 2.5
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After the game against Ukraine, Julian Nagelsmann commented that Germany could have won 2-0 or 3-0 as they were a better side for the entire game. However, the result tells a different story.
It remains difficult to identify a single core in Germany that would suggest they can secure victory at Euro 2024. The Greeks will start playing in the League of Nations in three months, but after their disappointment in the qualifiers, they have something to prove.
In 2023-2024, Greece did not lose by more than two goals in four of their five away matches, suggesting they have the potential for a solid performance. In addition, the Germans have never won by a difference of three goals at home during this time.
We think that the Greeks, with their pragmatic style of play, will definitely be able to avoid defeat.
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