Odds via 22bet | |
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart | October 19, 18:30 GMT+1 |
Bayern Munich odds | 1.33 |
VfB Stuttgart odds | 7.5 |
Draw | 5.85 |
Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.26/3.22 |
Last season was chaotic by Bayern Munich’s standards, with Thomas Tuchel being dismissed before the end of the season. Bayern sporting director Max Eberl was one of the executives who proposed appointing Burnley coach Vincent Kompany at the time.
Bayern fans heavily criticised the decision, as Burnley had been relegated under Kompany’s management. Eberl defended his choice, stating that Kompany was a good cultural fit for Bayern both as a manager and as a person.
Eberl’s decision proved to be correct, as Bayern now appears back on track, sitting first in the Bundesliga with 14 points. Only RB Leipzig has collected as many points, with goal difference being THE only differentiator between the two.
Under Kompany, Bayern has suffered only one defeat, a 1-0 loss to Unai Emery’s Aston Villa in the Champions League. In the Bundesliga, Bayern has won four matches and drawn two in their first six games.
Recent Form | WWDLD |
Key Player to Watch | Joshua Kimmich |
Team Strengths | Fast-paced attacks through the wings, great balance in terms of profiles, solid defence |
Team Weaknesses | Lack of stability in the backline, dangerous overconfidence |
Key injuries and suspensions. | Hikori Ito, Tarek Buchmann, Josip Stanisić, Sacha Boey, Jamal Musiala |
Stuttgart grabbed attention with headlines last season, even though Leverkusen won the Bundesliga for the first time in its history. Stuttgart finished 16th in the 22/23 season, barely surviving in the league.
Stuttgart finished second in the 2023/24 Bundesliga season, just seven points behind Xabi Alonso’s Leverkusen.
The club lost key players over this summer transfer season, including Seihou Guirassy, who joined Borussia Dortmund. Hiroki Ito left for Bayern Munich, and Waldemar Anton also left with Guirassy to Dortmund.
As a result, Stuttgart has struggled to maintain their position and currently sits eighth in the Bundesliga. Ironically, the highlight of the season remains a 5-1 battering against Borussia Dortmund. One of the difficulties Sebastian Hoeness has been facing is that his team needs to juggle between the different competitions, as his team will face Juventus a few days after the clash against Bayern Munich.
His squad is struggling to cope with the current schedule, forcing Stuttgart to soon prioritise one competition.
Recent Form | WDDDD |
Key Player to Watch | Maximilian Mittelstaedt |
Team Strengths | Scoring, creating chances through the wings, strong striker partnership |
Team Weaknesses | Lack of rest defence and lack of stability in the midfield |
Key injuries and suspensions. | Ameen Al-Dakhil, Dan-Axel Zagadou, Leonidas Stergiou, Nikolas Nartey, Chris Fuhrich, Justin Diehl, Luca Raimund |
Bayern Munich and Stuttgart have faced each other 45 times. The Bavarians won 32 of the matches, while Stuttgart won seven times. The two teams shared points in six draws.
Stuttgart won the last encounter in May, securing a 3-1 victory, with goals from Stergiou, Jeong and Mvumpa for Stuttgart, while Harry Kane scored Bayern Munich’s consolation goal.
Bayern’s last victory over Stuttgart came in December 2023, with a 3-0 scoreline. Harry Kane scored a brace, and Kim added the third goal.
Bet hereWhile I would have chosen Jamal Musiala, his injury led me to highlight another player. It’s easy to choose Harry Kane, whose goal count has not stopped increasing since he arrived in the Bavarian capital. Some of the best wingers accompany him, but there’s another player who deserves a mention. It’s Joshua Kimmich.
Once shifted to right-back under Tuchel, Kimmich now thrives as a right-sided pivot alongside Aleksandr Pavlović. They form a great partnership, compensating for each other’s movements.
This partnership fits Kimmich perfectly, as he finally found his perfect partner after years of looking for someone to compensate for his movements.
Stuttgart is unlikely to secure a victory at the Allianz Arena in this match. Deniz Undav and Ermedin Durović have proved to be great hires by the club. Durović has netted five goals in only six appearances, while Undav scored. They are different profiles, but the two are excellent in the box and have been key in Stuttgart outscoring their opponents.
Bayern has rediscovered its form after a turbulent year under Thomas Tuchel. Kompany has proven to be an excellent man-manager, guiding Bayern back to its usual standards.
As is often the case in the Bundesliga, counter-attacks through the wings will matter the most. With Alphonso Davies and Michael Olise, Stuttgart is likely to be overwhelmed in the flanks during the counter-attacks.
Stuttgart cannot afford to sit back, but they lack the full-backs needed to track Bayern’s wingers. They excel in the midfield, but they must find a way to break through the Kimmich-Pavlović duo, which is a difficult task few have managed to solve.
Bayern needs to win this match, as a difficult period of fixtures looms ahead. A few days after this match, the Bavarians will face Barcelona. The surprising defeat against Aston Villa means that Kompany cannot afford to make a mistake in that match. The squad must head into the Champions League with full confidence.
Stuttgart came out victorious in the last encounter, but the Schwaben haven’t won in the Allianz Arena, which is a different story. Bayern tends to play differently with the support of its home crowd.
The home side can take advantage of Stuttgart’s injury troubles, which significantly weaken the team. As they struggle to defend, this is the perfect opportunity for Bayern to try different things ahead of the clash against Barcelona.
The importance of home support is often forgotten in match analyses. Allianz Arena is known for its unique atmosphere, where teams often panic while Bayern attacks on the flanks. It’s true that Jamal Musiala is a crucial piece of the puzzle.
Still, there’s no doubt that having Alphonso Davies and Michael Olise on the wings accompanied by Harry Kane in the box guarantees a victory in 99% of the cases.
Bayern’s chances improve when their opponents are depleted by injuries and cannot match their athleticism.
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