Both sides came into this tie having conceded in every group match, and neither goalkeeper had kept a clean sheet in the tournament. On paper that's the profile of a game that produces goals at both ends, and Australia's counter-attacking pace against Egypt's high defensive line looked like a mismatch worth backing.
The pick: Over 2.5 Goals at 2.05 — graded a loss. The match finished 1-1: both teams scored, as expected, but neither could find a second. Egypt in particular sat deeper than their group-stage average once level, and Australia's final ball let them down in a game they controlled territorially. We don't hide graded losses — this is exactly the kind of result the public track record is meant to include.