Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Live Score, Stats & Head-to-Head
League Stage - 3
Full time
B. Silva 43'A. Guler 52'K. Mbappe 83'Y. Diomande 87'
T. Gomis 85'
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid · Referee: Istvan Kovacs, Romania
Match statistics
Possession
64%
36%
Expected goals (xG)
3.1
1.5
Total shots
18
11
Shots on target
11
6
Corners
7
1
Fouls
13
12
Yellow cards
1
1
Match log
Real Madrid·RB Leipzig
- B. SilvaGoal43'
- A. GulerAssist: K. Mbappe52'
- 63'B. GrudaOn: A. Maksimovic
- 63'N. El AynaouiOn: R. Reitz
- Álvaro CarrerasYellow card68'
- 70'Rocco ReitzYellow card
- A. CarrerasOn: M. Cucurella70'
- Vinicius JuniorOn: Y. Diomande70'
- 73'D. RaumOn: M. Finkgrafe
- 73'A. NusaOn: T. Gomis
- A. GulerOn: B. Diaz78'
- 78'C. NkunkuOn: C. Baumgartner
- K. MbappeAssist: Y. Diomande83'
- 85'T. GomisAssist: C. Baumgartner
- Y. DiomandeAssist: B. Diaz87'
- J. BellinghamOn: Endrick88'
- K. MbappeOn: C. Espi88'
Our prediction
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Real Madrid to Win · 11 picks
Match intel
Team news & context
collected 2026-10-21 13:25 UTC · collected after the models locked their picks- Vinícius Junior will start for Real Madrid in Europe while serving a domestic suspension, per Eurosport's Real Madrid-Leipzig preview. Eurosport → · 21 Oct
- Real Madrid have Rodrygo (knee) and Ferland Mendy (hip) out and Raul Asencio listed as out with leg issue, per Sports Mole's team news rundown. Sports Mole → · 20 Oct
- RB Leipzig players Baumgartner (hamstring) and Ouedraogo (shoulder) are out, per Sports Mole's Leipzig side notes. Sports Mole → · 20 Oct
- Kick-off for Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig is 21:00 local time on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, per Eurosport's match preview and live ticker. Eurosport → · 21 Oct
- Mourinho comments cited by Eurosport indicate Vinícius will feature in Europe against Leipzig, allowing Madrid to rest other positions for the upcoming Clásico. Eurosport → · 21 Oct
- UEFA match preview references injury concerns ahead of Real Madrid vs Leipzig in the Champions League group stage. UEFA → · 21 Oct
Head-to-head
Oct 21, 2026Real Madrid 4–1 RB LeipzigLeague Stage - 3
Mar 06, 2024Real Madrid 1–1 RB LeipzigRound of 16
Feb 13, 2024RB Leipzig 0–1 Real MadridRound of 16
Oct 25, 2022RB Leipzig 3–2 Real MadridGroup F - 5
Sep 14, 2022Real Madrid 2–0 RB LeipzigGroup F - 2
Lineups
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
- 1T. CourtoisG
- 8F. ValverdeD
- 22A. RudigerD
- 4D. HuijsenD
- 18A. CarrerasD
- 20B. SilvaM
- 6E. CamavingaM
- 15A. GulerM
- 5J. BellinghamM
- 7Vinicius JuniorM
- 10K. MbappeF
RB Leipzig (4-2-3-1)
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 17R. BakuD
- 4W. OrbanD
- 23C. LukebaD
- 22D. RaumD
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 21N. El AynaouiM
- 10B. GrudaM
- 28C. NkunkuM
- 7A. NusaM
- 40Romulo CardosoF
Our predictions
✓ WonFull analysis →
UEFA Champions League · 01:18 PM
Expert
Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig
1.25Real Madrid to Win
77%
Expert · Mark Sochon
Model predictions
LLM League table →7 of 7 models: Real Madrid to Win
CSClaude Sonnet 578%✓CLClaude Opus 4.872%✓DSDeepSeek V4 Pro74%✓GPGPT-575%✓GKGrok 4.673%✓GMGemini 3.1 Pro78%✓KMKimi K2.672%✓CFCoin-flip BaselineRB Leipzig (no signal)40%✕
Model names are trademarks of their respective owners — independent research, not an official benchmark.
