Whether in business, work, or personal relationships, our interactions are always built around a ‘give and take’ formula. No one is ever selfless. If we do something, deep down, we expect something in return. No effort is ever free. There is a cost, a profit, and a loss. And that is the basis of a bookmaker’s life.
When you play with them, they lure you in by offering the best odds to bet on. And you think, ‘Wow, what great odds!’ But within those odds is a secret: a winning amount that always helps them turn a profit, even if you win! Let’s understand the actual winning margin meaning today.
The bookmaker margin is the financial gain a sportsbook will make when you place a bet with them. This is a small percentage that is built into the odds they offer. No odds are ever based on the actual probability of a result.
They’re adjusted so that the sportsbook, which is offering you a chance to play, is able to make a profit. This tiny amount pays for the expenses of running their operations and safeguards them from the losses associated with betting.
There are two types of bookmakers, based on the margins they place on their offered odds:
Bookmakers use the overround principle to calculate their profits. Let’s understand this better with an example.
Say you and your friend decide to place a friendly wager. You both put $100 on the table, so the total winning is $200. If Team A wins, you take the $200 and if Team B wins, your friend takes it. The odds for win or loss, for either team, are equal.
When you decide to go to a bookmaker and place a bet, the bookmaker offers you 1.90 odds, which means if you put $100 on the table for Team A to win, the bookmaker will only put $90. The total winning will be $190.
The table below shows the actual and implied probability of winning outcomes, which can help you visualise how to calculate overground.
Wager with | Probability of | Total Probability | |
Team A Winning | Team B Winning | ||
Friend | 50% | 50% | 100% |
Bookmaker | 52.63% | 52.63% | 105.26% |
Every outcome needs to have a probability of 100%. In the bookmaker’s case, it’s 105.26%. The extra 5.26% is the overround built into the 1.90 odds they offer.
The formula used for calculating winning probability is Your Stake ÷ Total Winning x 100. To do a calculation on the losing outcomes, you’ll use this formula: 100 – (Your Stake ÷ Total Winning x 100).
If you do a losing margin calculation in the bookmaker’s case, it comes to 94.74%. The difference is the overround of 5.26%.
Overround, also called vig or juice, is the margin sportsbooks adjust on the odds they offer. Why do they do this? A couple of reasons:
You should know that overrounds have to be delicately placed on different events and markets. Because if it’s higher, the sportsbooks risk losing you to their competitors. This is their conundrum: lower margin means they’re more appealing to bettors, but also means they take on more risk.
There are many reasons why bookmakers would adjust their margins. Some of them being:
Higher bookmaker margins mean your payout is low and no one likes that. Since we are all for ‘Team Bettor,’ we’ll let you know what you can do to minimise the impact on your winnings.
Read below to know what tricks you can use to make killer winnings.
Use platforms like Oddschecker to compare odds from multiple bookmakers and place bets with the ones that offer the best odds.
When you focus on a specific sport, you’ll develop a sense of how to place winning bets and how to identify the market inefficiencies. So we’d suggest you master one sport, rather than placing bets on a variety.
Betting exchanges like Betfair eliminate traditional bookmaker margins by allowing you to bet against each other. This often leads to better odds and increased winnings.
Bookmakers offer bonuses and promotions, such as free bets. Knowing about these offers can help you make a profit despite their margins.
It’s a common practice for bookies to undervalue and overvalue bets. Use match betting calculators to understand pricing differences. Beat them with some old-school data analysis.
Betting exchanges make money by charging a commission, while bookies adjust odds to add in their profits.
If you go with an exchange, they’ll charge you a betting commission, which is typically between 2% to 5%. This amount is still lower than the standard margins bookies set. So if you’re a serious bettor, betting exchanges may be more attractive.
We are advocates for responsible gambling. Never go after your losses. Understand the game, and the margins to properly manage your bankroll. Set limits and exclusions to keep your mental health and your finances safe.
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