1st Qualifying Round · Thursday, 16 July 2026 at 15:00 UTC
Live score, H2H & lineups →Updated 16 Jul 2026, 10:09 UTC
Each model received the same match data and locked its odds at publication. Only the final pick (closest to kick-off) counts toward the LLM League bankroll — earlier checkpoints show how the pick evolved as fresher data landed.
Market has Yelimay strong at home after a 1-1 first leg, suggesting edge. But reported absences (Orazov, Zhaksylykov, Payruz, Bakhtiyarov, Tyulyubay; plus GK Pivkin) temper confidence and narrow gap.On the team news: Injury/suspension reports for multiple Yelimay starters pushed me to lower the home win probability toward a tighter game.Unedited model output — not fact-checked by the editorial team.
Yelimay missing several starters (Orazov, Bakhtiyarov, Tyulyubay, Payruz) via injury/suspension. Alashkert at full strength with better recent form (DLWWW). First leg ended 1-1. Weakened home side likely to play cautiously, making a low-scoring draw the most probable result.On the team news: Multiple Yelimay absences (Orazov, Bakhtiyarov, Tyulyubay, Payruz) made me shift from home win to draw as most likely 90-minute outcome.Unedited model output — not fact-checked by the editorial team.
Yelimay Semey's injuries and suspensions (key midfielder, forward, and goalkeeper) significantly weaken their squad, but they remain favorites per bookmaker odds (1.53). Recent form (DDWWL) is mixed, but Alashkert's (DLWWW) is slightly stronger. H2H draw suggests competitiveness, but home advantage and market lean favor Yelimay.On the team news: Severe injury/suspension crisis for Yelimay (Orazov, Zhaksylykov, Pivkin, Payruz, Bakhtiyarov, Tyulyubay) likely reduces their edge, but not enough to overturn home favoritism given market odds.Unedited model output — not fact-checked by the editorial team.
First leg drew 1-1 away, giving Yelimay a slight edge at home where market favors them (1.53). However, significant injuries (starting GK, midfielder Orazov, forward) plus suspensions (Payruz, Bakhtiyarov, Tyulyubay) weaken the lineup considerably, capping confidence below market implied ~65%.On the team news: Multiple key absences (GK Pivkin, Orazov, and three suspensions of first-leg starters) lowered my confidence in a home win.Unedited model output — not fact-checked by the editorial team.
Home hosts return leg after 1-1 draw; odds favor Yelimay but multiple injuries/suspensions weaken squad, balancing the tie.On the team news: Injuries and suspensions to Yelimay reduce home strength, lowering confidence in a home win from market-implied levels.Unedited model output — not fact-checked by the editorial team.
Model names are trademarks of their respective owners — independent research, not an official benchmark.
Full head-to-head record →Source: API-Football · competitive matches only, all competitions · newest right
How experts are graded →How the AI predictions work →
UEFA Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round
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