Werder Bremen has had a reliable start to the season, winning three of their seven matches to sit eighth in the Bundesliga standings. Last weekend, they achieved a second win in four against Wolfsburg, with a back three once again proving to be the perfect platform to spring fast counter-attacking offence from players such as Felix Agu and Mitchell Weiser.
The fact that both wing-backs ended the victory on the scoresheet only highlights how quickly Werder can transition from defence to attack. But, this can also be a weakness against an opponent such as Leverkusen, with the German champions likely to get joy if winning the ball back quickly at Weser Stadium.
However, Werder are narrowly overperforming in terms of their 8.78 xG, having scored nine goals from open play. A key consideration to assess before making a Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction this weekend is the fact that the hosts will be without important defenders Anthony Jung, Niklas Stark, and Miloš Veljković.
Still, they look more than able to combat these injuries with Julian Malatini and Marco Friedl impressing in the central defensive positions last weekend.
German champions Bayer Leverkusen have looked far from the unbeatable domestic kings that they were so far in 2024-25. Xabi Alonso has kept faith with the same 3-4-2-1 formation that served his side well last term, with much of the attacking threat coming in the wide areas via proficient stars such as Jeremie Frimpong and Alex Grimaldo.
However, they have already conceded 13 goals this season from their xGA of 11.09, which ensures that there are areas of improvement in the defensive areas. Quick turnovers will be a concern when making football predictions this weekend, especially given Werder’s efficiency breaking when winning the ball back in offensive positions.
Leverkusen are narrowly exceeding their xG of 10.39 from open play, scoring eleven times from 89 shots.
But, they could face the prospect of being without top scorer Victor Boniface this weekend after the striker was involved in a minor car accident last weekend. However, Alonso’s side are well stocked in the forward areas, with Patrik Schick likely to deputise.
Bet herePick: Bayer Leverkusen to win
Odds: 1.49 (22Bet)
Score prediction: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen
An entertaining match is to be expected after examining the football analysis predictions. Both sides will deploy a three-at-the-back formation, with emphasis on the wide players to be the driving force in the final third of the field.
However, the tactic is more perfectly fine tuned by Leverkusen, while Werder are likely to gain more success with the tactic against lesser opponents. The German champions efficiency with the ball is also a key factor to take into account, with Granit Xhaka’s experience key for Leverkusen to ensure that they don’t give the ball away cheaply in the middle of the park to allow Werder to break away quickly.
The fact that the hosts will be without defenders such as Jung and Veljković is also an important fact, as they may get away being without their stars against lesser opponents, but not against one of the best teams in Germany.
Boniface’s absence is notable, but Schick has proven across the last two seasons that he has the capability to fill in where required without a drop off in performance standards.
Florian Wirtz will pick up additional pressure in the final third this weekend in the absence of Boniface. The German international was in excellent form against Werder last season, netting a hat-trick in a 5-0 win at BayArena. He already appears on course to exceed his tally of eleven last term after netting four in seven.
Another interesting football pick this weekend could come in the form of both teams to score (1.52). The open nature and quick-attacking styles of both teams means that the emphasis of both will be to get forward as quickly as possible.
While we expect Leverkusen to win, the German champions have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven league matches this season.
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