Vitoria have had a competitive start to the Europa Conference League this season. With a fifth win in six matches on Thursday, they could move to the top of the standings.
The Portuguese club has looked well-balanced throughout the competition, and their 4-4-2 formation gives them the perfect mix of defensive options and high-quality out-balls in the final third of the field.
That’s mirrored in their xG metrics, as they’ve averaged 1.28 goals per game and netted ten goals in six home matches so far. The Portuguese side often gives their opponents a chance, averaging around 1.00 across their 13 games. They’ve conceded 12 goals in the league so far.
However, the fact that they have a home advantage could be hard to overlook when making a Vitoria vs Fiorentina prediction. Additionally, they have a fully fit squad to select from this week.
It’s been an excellent first half of the season for Fiorentina, but their excellent winning sequence ended domestically with Bologna on Sunday.
Despite the loss, the Italian side has enjoyed an excellent start to the Europa Conference League this season. Only Vitoria and Chelsea have won more points. Fiorentina have won four of their five matches, and only Chelsea has scored more goals.
Their attacking quality has been mirrored in their xG domestically this season. They have scored 18 goals from open play, with an xG of 18.37. Meanwhile, Fiorentina conceded just nine goals, with a metric of 12.25.
They’ve been excellent from corners this season, scoring five goals from 20 shots and having an xG of 4.15. However, the Italian visitors will be without Marin Pongračić on Thursday, as the defender is out with a thigh injury.
Bet hereThe Portuguese hosts’ first big challenge in this Europa Conference League will be against one of the best defensive teams in the competition. Given their low xG per match, they could struggle to make their attacking quality count in the final third.
Fiorentina have taken the competition very seriously, and a strong line-up will be fielded for Thursday’s trip to Portugal. Due to having better quality across the field, we expected the experienced visitors to ease to maximum points in the Europa Conference League on Thursday.
Italian striker Moise Kean has been in excellent form for Fiorentina throughout the season. Kean has already scored nine goals in 14 appearances this season and is registering 3.96 shots per match.
The Italian has an xG of 10.50 in Serie A matches, which is by far the highest of any player in the Fiorentina side. He could make the difference for the team from Florence.
Alternatively, Moise Kean could be an interesting option. The midfielder has recorded four assists in eleven matches this term, with an xA of 1.42.
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