| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Venezia vs Fiorentina | Monday, May 12, 2025, 17:30 GMT+1 |
| Venezia odds | 3.20 |
| Fiorentina odds | 2.35 |
| Draw | 3.18 |
| Over/Under | Total 2,5: 2.22/1.66 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
A hugely important Monday showdown is set for Venice this week, as Venezia bid to bounce back to winning ways and enhance their chance of survival. They go into this weekend’s matches sitting in 18th spot, but are just a point away from moving out of the drop zone.
Venezia have struggled in the final third of the field throughout the season. This is reflected by their low score of 0.8 goals per game, which was a xG average of 1.20. Meanwhile, they’ve allowed 1.4 balls with an estimated xGA of 1.66.
The hosts have a lengthy injury list to contend with this weekend. Kike Perez, Alfred Duncan, and Domen Črnigoj have all been ruled out. Richie Sagrado and Michael Svoboda will probably not feature again this season.
Venezia predicted lineup vs Fiorentina: (4-3-2-1): Radu; Schingtienne, Idzes, Cande, Zerbin; Busio, Caviglia, Fila; Haps, Yeboah; Gytkjær.
Fiorentina still have a slim chance of finishing the season in a Champions League spot. They will, however, need wins in all remaining matches to stand any chance of finishing in the top four. The Italian side will want to get back on track after their two-game winning run ended last weekend.
Fiorentina’s xG metric of 1.33 was outperformed in the final third this season after scoring around 1.51 times per game. Meanwhile, they’ve conceded just one ball per 90 from an estimated xGA of 1.35.
Luca Ranieri will return from his suspension in Venice on Monday. Nicolo Zaniolo starts a three-game ban. However, Dodo and Christian Kouame are all unlikely to play again in the 2024-25 term.
Fiorentina predicted lineup vs Venezia (3-4-1-2): de Gea; Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri, Adli, Mandragora, Cataldi, Fagioli; Gosens; Guðmundsson; Beltran.
Bet hereAn away win appears to be the standout Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction on Monday. The visitors are unbeaten in their last two head-to-head matches and have been more consistent throughout the 2024-25 campaign.
Fiorentina have won an impressive 49% of their games, which includes a strike-rate of 35% on the road. Meanwhile, Venezia have suffered defeats in 47% of their home matches so far.
There could be value in siding with a low-scoring affair in Venice on Monday. Fiorentina’s away events have seen around 2.53 nets per game, but they have allowed one goal against per 90.
Venezia’s encounters have seen an average of 2.2 goals scored this season. That average drops to 1.82 per fixture when considering just their home meetings.
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