- Date and Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 00:00 GMT+1
- Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, United States
| Odds via 22Bet | |
| USA vs Mexico | Monday, July 7, 2025, 00:00 GMT+1 |
| USA odds | 2.78 |
| Mexico odds | 2.58 |
| Draw | 3.24 |
| Over/Under | Total 2,5: 2.23/1.65 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
USA vs Mexico Preview and Team News
USA Team News
USA followed their perfect run in the Gold Cup, beating Guatemala 2-1 thanks to Diego Luna’s brace within just 10 minutes. Real Salt Lake’s midfielder was superb throughout the game, and while the US conceded just before the final whistle, they didn’t allow many chances near their goal.
This is an opportunity for Mauricio Pochettino to win his first national team trophy. Indeed, the United States have performed remarkably in this tournament and showed balance in every part of the field.
There are no injury or suspension concerns for the US. The head coach will probably stick to the previous formation and lineup against Mexico.
USA predicted lineup vs Mexico (4-2-3-1): Freese; Freeman, Richards, Ream, Arfsten; Adams, de la Torre; Berhalter, Tillman, Luna; Agyemang.
Mexico Team News
Mexico won all but one Gold Cup match, and in the semi-final, they grabbed a narrow 1-0 victory, thanks to Raul Jimenez’s 50th-minute strike. The Mexicans had the initiative and only allowed a single shot on target near their goal.
Under Javier Aguirre’s management, Mexico have become a hard-to-beat squad for everyone. Indeed, defensively, they haven’t conceded in four straight games, and Honduras produced 0.10 xG, which speaks to the mastery of their defenders.
Similar to the United States, there are no absentees in Mexico’s camp. Surprisingly, Milan’s Santiago Gimenez has mostly featured from the bench. We still don’t expect him to start in such a crucial clash.
Mexico predicted lineup vs USA (4-3-3): Malagon; Araujo, Vasquez, Montes, Garcia; Mora, Alvarez, Ruiz; Vega, Jimenez, Alvarado.
Bet hereUSA vs Mexico Prediction
- Pick: USA or Draw
- Odds: 1.54 22Bet)
- Correct score prediction: USA 1-1 Mexico
We’ve certainly got the final we wanted – two top teams, that were significantly better than all their other rivals. This will also be a third consecutive clash at the Gold Cup, with Mexico winning in 2019 and the USA in 2021.
Overall, it will be their eighth matchup in the competition’s history. The Mexicans have an advantage with five wins, but in this tournament, their opponents look confident and organized.
We don’t anticipate Mauricio Pochettino’s men taking the cup in regular time. However, they should be able to grab at least a draw, and we don’t exclude the possibility of penalties. For our first pick, we choose the Americans to win or draw.
USA vs Mexico Prediction, Betting Tip
- Pick: Under 2.5 Goals
- Odds: 1.65 (22Bet)
We don’t have to remind you of the status of this game. It is a final, and both teams know what’s at stake, so even the slightest mistake can turn the situation upside down.
If we take a look at the last seven H2H encounters, only one ended with more than three goals scored. The USA and Mexico have a history of matchups, so they know each other very well.
We think it will be a very physical game, where you’ll get to witness numerous fouls and play happening in the midfield. Neither side will risk going all out in the offence. Thus, our second prediction is under 2.5 goals.
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