| Odds via 22bet | |
| Uruguay vs Brazil | July 7, 2024, 2:00 AM GMT+1 |
| Uruguay odds | 2.91 |
| Brazil odds | 2.65 |
| Draw | 3.01 |
| Over\Under | Total 2,5: 2.33/1.6 |
Marcelo Bielsa has reignited the hopes of Uruguay within their national side this summer, and they have quickly emerged as one of the strong contenders to win the Copa America.
Uruguay cruised through the group stage without any issues after winning all three of their matches in Group C, scoring nine goals in the process and conceding just once.
The manner of their performances to this point have been the most pleasing factor, and there still looks to be growth to come from this young squad as the tournament progresses.
Saturday will be their biggest test to date, but Bielsa has already overseen a famous win over Brazil during World Cup qualification, and foreseeing a win for his side when making a Uruguay vs Brazil prediction this weekend wouldn’t be the biggest shock outcome.
| Recent Form (all competitions, most recent first) | W-W-W-W-L |
| Key Players to Watch | Darwin Núñez, Federico Valverde, Rodrigo Bentancur |
| Team Strengths | Energy in the middle of the park and an excellent attacking outlet. |
| Team Weaknesses | Defence could be weak against the stronger teams in the competition. |
Brazil will need to do things the hard way if they are to reclaim the Copa America title this summer after flattering to deceive in the group stage.
Dorival Junior’s side eventually finished second in Group D after failing to hold on to a 1-0 advantage in their final group match against Colombia on Tuesday. That draw means that Brazil must now overcome two South American heavyweights if they are to set up a potential clash with Argentina in the final.
There are certainly teething issues with this new-look Brazil side, and that was clear in Tuesday’s 1-1 draw against Colombia.
Defensively, they looked suspect throughout that clash, and the midfield was broken through on countless occasions, as Colombia registered 13 shots on goal. That is an area that needs to be addressed ahead of this quarterfinal showdown.
| Recent Form (all competitions, most recent first) | D-W-D-D-W |
| Key Players to Watch | Vinicius Jr, Raphinha, João Gomes |
| Team Strengths | World-class attacking talent. |
| Team Weaknesses | Midfield and defence appears to easy to break through. |
Uruguay ended their long wait for a win over Brazil in a World Cup qualifier last October, landing a 2-0 success on home soil. That was their first win over their South American rivals since 2001, with Brazil winning nine of the 12 clashes between the two sides.
That winning record could still be an important consideration before making a Uruguay vs Brazil prediction.
Darwin Núñez is a player who is often ridiculed in the Premier League, as he misses countless chances for Liverpool. However, he has looked like a different animal during the Copa America this summer. He has been calm in front of goal, while also still offering his tireless energy when pressing the ball.
The striker has netted twice in three matches to this point, and will be a prominent out ball in this clash against a Brazil side that is struggling for a strong connection between defence and midfield.
His relentless energy could cause countless issues for Brazil on Saturday, and he will likely be at the heart of everything positive that Uruguay are able to do, setting the tone from the front.
Uruguay have been very strong in the middle of the park to this point, with the combination of Federico Valverde, Manuel Ugarte, and Nicolás de la Cruz working tirelessly to cover the pitch. The midfield battle will be crucial on Saturday, with Brazil looking weak in that area of the field.
An easy fix for the team would be to add another central midfielder into the area to counter-act the Uruguay strength, but that is something that we struggle to foresee as Junior looks set to adopt the exact same system in the hope that it clicks into gear. Should Uruguay gain the upper-hand in the middle of pitch, it could be hard to see Brazil getting a foothold in this quarterfinal.
A high-quality showdown is set for the quarterfinals of the Copa America this weekend, but Brazil will need to rediscover their form if they are to pose questions to this young and explosive Uruguay team.
Bielsa’s trademark high-pressing style has worked to perfection to this point, and we could see Brazil once again falling victim to the style, just as they did late last year. Therefore, we will be siding with Uruguay to over-power their South American rivals and set up a likely tie against Colombia in the semi-final.
Uruguay’s wide players could prove to be the key in the final third this weekend, and a forgotten Man United man could be an excellent betting angle.
Facundo Pellistri has been trusted by Bielsa throughout this year due to his excellent ball-carrying ability, and he has already netted twice in five appearances in 2024. He could be a strong contender to improve that international record against Brazil.
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