| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Uruguay vs Argentina | Saturday, March 22, 2025. 00:30 GMT+1 |
| Uruguay odds | 2.83 |
| Argentina odds | 2.72 |
| Draw | 3.03 |
| Over/Under | Total 2,5: 2.83/1.40 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay have made an excellent start to World Cup qualification in the South American region. They’re second with just five points off the top spot. However, concerns surrounding their recent poor form will be glaringly obvious ahead of this showdown after only winning once in their previous five.
Under Marcelo Bielsa’s leadership in 2024, Uruguay adopted an aggressive 4-3-3 formation with high-intensity pressing and fluid attacking movements. Manuel Ugarte served as the deep-lying playmaker, while Federico Valverde and Nicolás de la Cruz occupied advanced roles in midfield.
Bielsa emphasized central overloads by inverting wingers or fullbacks, which enhanced passing options and quick ball circulation to exploit spaces in the opponent’s defense. The team aimed to penetrate half-spaces between the opposition’s lines, allowing players like Valverde and de la Cruz to create goal-scoring opportunities.
Defensively, Uruguay employed man-to-man marking and a counter-pressing strategy to swiftly regain possession and disrupt opposition counterattacks. This high-pressure approach showcased Bielsa’s commitment to proactive football.
Pressure in the final third of the pitch will be placed on out-of-form Liverpool striker Darwin Nunez, who’s scored 13 in 33 matches for his national side. Meanwhile, experienced stars Rodrigo Bentancur and Federico Valverde will play in the middle of the park.
Uruguay predicted lineup vs Argentina (4-3-3): Rochet; Varela, Gimenez, Olivera, Saracchi; Valverde, Ugarte, Bentancur; Pellistri, Nunez, Aguirre.
Reigning world champions Argentina sit at the top of the World Cup qualification standings in South America. However, after losing three of their 12 matches, they’ve looked anything but unbeatable to this point in their campaign.
Confidence will need to be restored during this window after losing two of their last five.
In 2024 Argentina showed tactical flexibility, primarily using a 4-3-3 formation that shifted to a 3-2-5 during attacks. This allowed for structural balance and enhanced offensive capability.
During build-up, Argentina’s 4-3-3 featured a back four, one defensive midfielder, two central midfielders, and a forward trio. As play progressed, one full-back advanced, the defensive midfielder dropped between the center-backs to form a back three, and wingers moved centrally to create overloads in half-spaces, achieving numerical superiority in midfield for effective ball progression.
The midfield trio, usually Enzo Fernández, Alexis Mac Allister, and Rodrigo De Paul, linked defense and attack seamlessly. Defensively, Argentina maintained a compact shape, pressing high to quickly regain possession.
Paulo Dybala has been ruled out for the upcoming internationals.
Lionel Messi will not participate in Argentina’s upcoming matches against Uruguay on March 21 and Brazil, due to a low-grade adductor muscle injury. The injury occurred during Inter Miami’s 2-1 victory over Atlanta United on March 16. Messi underwent an MRI, which confirmed the muscle strain. Consequently, Argentina’s coach, Lionel Scaloni, has excluded him from the squad for these crucial matches.
However, Angel Correa has been recalled after an impressive campaign with Atletico Madrid. Additionally, Santiago Castro and Claudio Echeverri could feature for the first time for their national side.
Argentina predicted lineup vs Uruguay (4-3-3): Martinez; Montiel, Balerdi, Otamendi, Tagliafico; De Paul, Fernandez, Mac Allister; Correa, Martinez, Alvarez.
Bet hereIt could be a low-scoring affair when these South American heavyweights collide, as a defeat for either would be harmful to their World Cup prospects.
Uruguay have managed to keep it tight in home matches, averaging an xGA of just 1.09 per game and allowing 0.67. Argentina have also scored just one goal per fixture from an away xG of 1.05 in qualification.
As the odds suggest, under 2.5 goals looks like a reliable prediction for Uruguay vs Argentina this week. The head-to-head trends show that there have only been over 2.5 goals in one of the previous four meetings and two in the last seven.
Meanwhile, the fact that both teams average low goals per game in qualification is hard to ignore, with the visitors averaging 2.5 and the home squad averaging 1.5.
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