| Odds via 22bet | |
| Royale Union Saint-Gilloise vs Ajax | Thursday, February 13, 2025, 18:45 GMT+1 |
| Royale Union Saint-Gilloise odds | 2.27 |
| Ajax odds | 3.03 |
| Draw | 3.52 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.73/2.11 |
Union Saint-Gilloise are enjoying a purple patch, currently on a six-match winning streak in the Belgian Pro League and unbeaten in their last 13 league games. Their home form in the Europa League is also commendable, with two wins and two draws at the Roi Baudouin Stadium.
Tactically, Union are well-drilled defensively under Sebastien Pocognoli. They typically employ a 3-5-2 formation that prioritizes solidity at the back and quick transitions. Midfielder Charles Vanhoutte is crucial in controlling the tempo and shielding the defense, while veteran Christian Burgess brings vital experience to the backline.
Union Saint-Gilloise coach Sebastien Pocognoli has a few notable absentees to contend with.
Defender Ross Sykes is suspended for this crucial first leg due to yellow card accumulation, forcing a reshuffle in the backline. Further concerning for Union is the doubtful status of influential winger Sofiane Boufal, who is struggling with an undisclosed injury. Alessio Castro-Montes and Kamiel Van De Perre remain long-term absentees.
Despite these setbacks, Union SG boasts a squad brimming with confidence after an impressive run of form.
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise predicted lineup vs Ajax (3-5-2): Moris; Burgess, Mac Allister, Leysen; Niang, Vanhoutte, Perre, Sadiki, Khalaili; Ivanovic, Fuseini.
Ajax, under new manager Francesco Farioli, are still a work in progress but have shown signs of improvement recently, including a morale-boosting 2-1 victory against rivals Feyenoord.
Farioli has implemented a 4-3-3 system, aiming for possession-based football with a high press. However, their away form in Europe has been inconsistent, and defensive vulnerabilities remain.
Ajax also have several injury worries impacting their squad selection. Mika Godts, who made a name for himself this season, and Youri Regeer, who came over from FC Twente in the winter transfer window, are confirmed absentees, leaving Francesco Farioli with limited options in certain positions.
Bench players like defender Owen Wijndal and young attacker Amourricho van Axel Dongen are both doubtful due to knocks.
Striker Wout Weghorst, who scored a goal and provided an assist against Fortuna Sittard last weekend, broke his toe in this match and will be sidelined for 6 weeks.
Weghorst’s injury is a major setback for Farioli, who saw another striker, Chuba Akpom, leave for Lille in the last days of the winter transfer window.
That means that Brian Brobbey will start up front. However, the muscular striker rarely scores in top matches, and with four goals in 32 matches across all competitions this season, it seems unlikely that he will be the one making the difference.
On a positive note, Ajax has plenty of experience in their squad. Steven Berghuis, Jordan Henderson, Daniele Rugani, and Davy Klaassen are all players who have played numerous European games and are (or have been) respected players for their national team.
This international experience could make all the difference against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, a team that consists of players that, before the start of the season, only could have dreamt of reaching this stage of the Europa League.
Ajax predicted lineup vs Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (4-3-3): Pasveer; Gaaei, Rugani, Sutalo, Baas; Klaassen, Henderson, Taylor; Traore, Brobbey, Berghuis
Bet hereUnion Saint-Gilloise are a well-organized and disciplined side under Sebastien Pocognoli. Their 3-5-2 formation provides defensive stability, and they are particularly strong at home. They are effective in transition, utilizing quick counter-attacks.
Their recent matches show a trend of grinding out results, even in tight contests. However, they can sometimes struggle to break down deep-lying defenses, as seen in the draw against Leuven.
Considering Union SG’s strong home form and Ajax’s away struggles in Europe, coupled with Union’s current momentum, the Belgian side might just have a slight edge in this first leg. However, Ajax’s attacking quality, particularly through Brobbey and Berghuis, cannot be discounted. A tight, tactical battle is anticipated, with Union potentially edging it on home turf.
USG’s matches this season have averaged 9.49 total corners per game. Of these, they have secured approximately 5.34 corners themselves while conceding around 4.15 to their opponents.
Ajax’s games have seen an average of 8.58 total corners per match. They have won about 5.16 corners per game and have allowed their opponents approximately 3.42 corners.
So, in this match, in my opinion, it is quite reasonable to choose the option of more than eight corners. In addition, both teams play in an attacking style, so it is logical to expect a large number of corners.
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