Uganda’s road to AFCON 2027 continues against Libya on Tuesday. These two teams are level on one point in Group H ahead of this meeting at the Hoima City Stadium.

Uganda looking to build on strong away showing

After holding Tunisia in one of the standout results on matchday one, Uganda will take belief into this encounter. Paul Put is expected to opt for continuity after a spirited performance in Radès.

Rogers Mato netted a second-half equaliser for the Cranes in that game. He has only clocked up 34 minutes of Scottish Premiership action for Hearts this term, but did net twice in two League Cup outings. Allan Okello will likely be his partner in attack on Tuesday.

The hosts are hampered by injuries to Jordan Obita and Elio Capradossi. They should continue with a 5-3-2 system, with key man Kenneth Semakula deployed in central defence rather than midfield.

Uganda predicted lineup vs Libya (5-3-2): Onyango; Asiimwe, Sibbick, Torach, Semakula, Kayondo; Alhassan, Mutyaba, N. Okello; Mato, A. Okello.

Libya hoping domestic players can steer them to AFCON 2027

There was late drama in Tripoli last week when Libya scored 87th- and 96th-minute goals to salvage a 2-2 draw against Botswana. A 3-4-3 structure is expected again as Youssoupha Dabo prepares his team for a tricky away fixture.

Marwan Al-Hbeishi should keep his place after starting the comeback with the first Libyan goal last time out. Ezzeddin Al-Mariami, who has netted six times in 14 international appearances, will likely continue in attack.

Verona’s Moatasem Al-Musrati was among a number of notable absentees from the squad for this international break, which relied heavily on domestic-based players.

Libya predicted lineup vs Uganda (3-4-3): Al-Tahar; Al-Suwai, Youssef, Al-Mabrouk; Khalil, Salama, Al-Shilwi, Al-Hbeishi; Al-Shreimy, Elhouni, Al-Mariami.

Uganda vs Libya Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Over 1.5 goals
  • Odds: 1.47 (22Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Uganda 1-1 Libya
  • 22Bet Booking Code: V9GN6

Key stats:

  • All of the previous seven Uganda matches have produced at least two goals.
  • Since the start of the 2025/26 season, fixtures involving the Cranes have averaged 2.9 goals per 90 minutes.
  • Libya avoided defeat in 80% of their 2026 World Cup qualifiers.

Backing over 1.5 goals is a safe bet for this game involving an attack-minded Uganda side. With a guaranteed place at AFCON 2027, which they will co-host, the Cranes can afford to keep taking risks.

Five of the home team’s previous seven internationals have delivered three or more goals in total. Meanwhile, there have been four goals scored in each of the last two Libya fixtures. The North Africans were also involved in a thrilling 3-3 draw against Cabo Verde at the end of their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign.

Uganda vs Libya Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value Tip: Draw
  • Odds: 3.14 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: RXHN6

There have been no recent competitive meetings between these nations, but two of the past three friendly encounters have finished all square. Backing a repeat offers value at odds of 3.14.

In regulation time, the past four Libya games have ended level. They’re on an eight-match unbeaten run overall.

Verdict: Over 1.5 goals (1.47) — Uganda 1-1 Libya