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Uganda vs Guinea | Tuesday, March 25, 2025. 17:00 GMT+1 |
Uganda odds | 3.12 |
Guinea odds | 2.48 |
Draw | 3.04 |
Over/Under | Total 2,5: 2.60/1.41 |
Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
The World Cup qualification campaign continues in Africa this week as two sides that are in desperate need of a reversal in fortunes collide.
Uganda come into this round sitting fifth in the Group G standings, having lost three of their five matches in qualifying. Their recent form is a major concern ahead of this showdown after losing each of their last two.
The national team has underperformed in front of goal in their last ten internationals, averaging an xG of 1.35, and scoring just 1.3 goals per match. However, they do boast an impressive defensive record, having allowed in average xGA of 0.86 per home match and allowing an average of one goal per game.
Inexperienced internationals Patrick Kanade, Hakim Kiwanuka, and Enock Ssebaggala will all be in the squad for Tuesday’s clash with Guinea. However, Denis Omedi will be suspended after being sent off in the opening 40 minutes against Mozambique on Thursday.
Uganda predicted lineup vs Guinea (4-4-2): Watenga; Bwomono, Mugabi, Capradossi, Kayondo; Ssemugabi, Semakula, Aucho, Ronald; Okello, Shaban.
The pressure will be on the visiting Guinea in World Cup qualification on Thursday. They would have been expected to finish in a top two position in Group G, but they come into this round sitting third and are currently five points adrift of Mozambique.
Guinea’s consistency has been a major issue after winning just once in their last four, and losing twice over that period.
Guinea’s attacking qualities should give them an excellent chance this week, as they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game from an xG of 1.38 over the last 12 months. However, they have been weaker defensively on their travels after allowing an average xGA of 1.51 and conceding 0.75 per 90.
Serhou Guirassy will lead the line for Guinea on Thursday, with the striker having netted nine in 23 international appearances. Seybouda Cissa, Mady Camara, and Francois Kamano should all be fit enough to start.
Guinea predicted lineup vs Uganda (4-2-3-1): S. Sylla; D. Sylla, Camara, Diakhaby, I. Sylla; Camara, Toure; Balde, Cisse, Kamano; Guirassy.
Bet hereNeither nation have found their best level of form in World Cup qualification to this point, but the increased pressure will be on Guinea this week. Despite struggling in front of goal in recent matches, their typically high goals-per-game averages are hard to ignore.
They have the better quality at the top end of the field, and their chances of victory are also enhanced based on the fact they have kept clean sheets in 30% of their matches over the last 12 months.
Scoring goals has been an issue for both of these sides, meaning that under 2.5 goals could be a standout Uganda vs Guinea prediction. The visitors have scored an average of 1.25 per 90 on the road, while they have averaged two goals per game away from home.
Meanwhile, Uganda’s matches have seen an average of 2.17 goals per 90, and they have scored an average of just 1.24 in home internationals.
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