Two winless teams in Nations League Group A collide on September 28, as Turkey host Italy at Malti Stadyumu Ataturk Spor Kompleksi.

Turkey Aiming to Respond Following Poor Run

Vincenzo Montella’s Turkey will have questions to answer on Monday, after losing three of their last four internationals.

The nation has also failed to score in the same number of fixtures, and they have allowed six goals overall in the same spell. Ugurcan Cakir will be suspended on Monday after being sent off in Friday’s 1-0 loss against France.

Altay Bayindir will replace the number one. Hakan Calhanoglu is unavailable due to injury. Can Uzun will play in an advanced role after scoring twice in four starts for Eintracht Frankfurt this season.

Turkey predicted lineup vs Italy (3-4-2-1): Bayindir; Celik, Demiral, Bardakci; Aydin, Ozcan, Yusek, Kadioglu; Guler, Uzun; Yilmaz

Mancini’s Second Reign Starts in Underwhelming Fashion

Roberto Mancini did not get the start he hoped for in his second stint in charge of the Italian national team, as Italy were beaten 2-0 by Belgium in Rome last Friday.

The defeat means that Italy have now failed to win three of their last four competitive fixtures. Pio Esposito was preferred to lead the line, but Giacomo Raspadori could be given an opportunity on Monday.

Mohamed Ali Zoma was also handed an international debut after scoring six goals in as many appearances for Nuremberg in 2026-27. Nicolo Barella is a fitness concern for Monday, but Davide Frattesi could replace the Inter Milan star.

Italy predicted lineup vs Turkey (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Coppola, Calafiori; Frattesi, Romano, Tonali; Cambiaghi, Raspadori, Kean

Turkey vs Italy Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Over 2 Goals
  • Odds: 1.31 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: 8778Q
  • Correct score prediction: Turkey 1-2 Italy

Key stats:

  • At least two goals have been scored in four of Turkey’s last six fixtures.
  • Italy have scored at least once in eight of their previous nine.
  • At least three goals have been scored in two of the last three head-to-heads.

A high-scoring encounter should be expected when Italy and Turkey collide on Monday. Over 2 goals have been scored in four of Turkey's previous six international fixtures, while the visiting Italians have scored at least one goal in eight of their last nine matches. Mancini’s men have also allowed at least one goal in half of their last four.

Goals have been common in recent head-to-head encounters, with at least three being scored in two of the latest three clashes.

Turkey vs Italy Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value Tip: Italy
  • Odds: 2.54 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: 2HV8Q

An away win looks like an interesting value angle on Monday. Turkey have suffered defeats in three of their last four, while Italy have recorded victories in three of their five internationals in 2026.

Head-to-head trends also support the chances of the visitors, as Italy have avoided defeat in all four clashes since 2006, winning two of the previous three encounters.

Verdict: Over 2 Goals (1.31) — Turkey 1-2 Italy