Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction, Betting Tips & Booking Code (Sep 24)

Tunisia will begin Group H against Uganda at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi on 24 September. With one qualification place available to the three non-host nations, the opening result carries immediate weight.

Chaabani Rebuilds After a 12-Goal Collapse

Mouine Chaabani retained only 14 World Cup players after Tunisia lost all three group games, scoring twice and conceding 12 in their summer collapse.

Hannibal Mejbri is injured, while Rani Khedira and Ellyes Skhiri have retired internationally, so Aissa Laidouni must protect a reshaped midfield. Ferjani Sassi and Ali Maaloul return under the new coach, adding 2 senior organisers behind Elias Achouri and Hazem Mastouri.

Tunisia predicted lineup vs Uganda (4-3-3): Dahmen; Valery, Talbi, Ghram, Maaloul; Laidouni, Sassi, Ben Romdhane; Tounekti, Mastouri, Achouri

Uganda Lose Their Midfield Anchor

Paul Put named a 28-player Uganda squad but omitted captain Khalid Aucho, goalkeeper Salim Jamal and 4 other senior regulars. Aucho's absence removes the usual midfield screen, leaving Kenneth Semakula and Baba Alhassan to contain Sassi and Ben Romdhane.

Uganda conceded 12 goals across their last 5 senior matches, so Toby Sibbick's duel with Mastouri is decisive.

Uganda predicted lineup vs Tunisia (4-2-3-1): Onyango; Bockhorn, Sibbick, Torach, Kayondo; Semakula, Alhassan; Mato, Okello, Mutyaba; Mukwala

Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction

  • Safe Tip: Tunisia To Win
  • Odds: 1.28 (22Bet)
  • Correct score prediction: Tunisia 2-0 Uganda
  • 22Bet Booking Code: 9H5NH

Key stats:

  • Tunisia have won all 7 senior meetings, with a 19-2 aggregate score.
  • Uganda have conceded 12 goals across their last 5 senior internationals.
  • Tunisia are ranked 57th, 32 places above 89th-ranked Uganda.

Seven wins from 7 head-to-heads make the home side clear favourites. Tunisia's 19-2 aggregate advantage also shows that Uganda have rarely handled their pace or finishing, while the 1.28 price implies a 78.1% home-win probability.

Uganda have won only 1 of their last 5 senior games and lost 3, conceding 12 times. Tunisia's new selection still contains 6 likely starters from the World Cup side, but Sassi and Maaloul provide the control required to turn possession into a home victory.

Tunisia vs Uganda Prediction, Value Tip

  • Value Tip: Tunisia -1.5 Handicap
  • Odds: 2.14 (22Bet)
  • 22Bet Booking Code: GU5NH

The 2.14 handicap price implies a 46.7% chance, yet all 3 of Uganda's defeats in their last 5 matches came by at least 2 goals. Tunisia also won the December 2025 meeting 3-1, so the market is underrating the likely margin.

Tunisia only scored 3 goals across their last 5 games, which keeps the handicap out of the Safe Tip range. However, Uganda's 6 major omissions weaken the spine of a side who conceded 4 to Morocco and 3 to Nigeria, supporting a controlled 2-0 home win.

Verdict: Tunisia To Win (1.28) — Tunisia 2-0 Uganda