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Tottenham vs Arsenal | September 15, 15:00 GMT+1 |
Tottenham odds | 3.05 |
Arsenal odds | 2.34 |
Draw | 3.36 |
Over\Under | Total 2,5: 1.61/2.31 |
Tottenham has had a mixed start to the new season, with a draw, a win, and a defeat in their first three games. Due to their lack of stability, especially in the defensive phase, it seems unlikely that Ange Postecoglou’s side will finish in the top four at the end of the season.
Pressing allows Tottenham to win the ball back in high positions and launch quick attacks in some situations, but frequent lapses in that pressing leave the team’s high defensive line vulnerable.
Maintaining a high offside line requires full team commitment, and when the front players fail to press effectively, the defense is left exposed.
Last season, Tottenham’s defensive issues were somewhat masked by the incredible saves of goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario. However, Vicario can not always bail out the team. As a result, Tottenham was in ninth place in terms of goals conceded at the end of last season.
Postecoglou’s team also seems to lack interesting ideas in the positional attack, often relying on individual skill to score goals.
This was evident in their match against Newcastle in the third round, where the Spurs only started creating chances in the second half thanks to the excellent play of James Maddison and Heung-min Son. Pedro Porro has also performed well in previous matches.
Overall, Tottenham heavily relies on the players’ ability to maintain high concentration and intensity in pressing and on the performances of two or three key players.
When everything falls into place, Postecoglou’s team can confidently overpower their opponents, as seen in the second leg against Everton. However, there are also instances when loss of concentration or injuries lead Tottenham to allow goals and eventually lose.
Recent Form | LWDLL |
Key Players to Watch | Heung-min Son, James Maddison, Cristian Romero |
Team Strengths | Pressing and quick attacks |
Team Weaknesses | Unstable play in a high defensive line |
Key Injuries and suspensions | Richarlison, Dominic Solanke (?), Micky van de Ven (?), Yves Bissouma(?) |
Arsenal concluded their preseason preparation with two victories over Lyon and Leverkusen and then comfortably defeated Wolverhampton and Aston Villa in the first two matches of the English Premier League.
It seemed that the match against Brighton shouldn’t have been difficult, as Arsenal launched more dangerous attacks than their opponent, and Kai Havertz even scored in the first half.
However, just nine minutes later, Declan Rice’s red card caused Brighton to equalize, and Arsenal lost two important points.
The main problem is that Rice is now suspended for the match against Tottenham. Additionally, Martin Ødegaard sustained an injury during the international break, which will keep him out for the next few months.
Over the last two seasons, Martin Ødegaard has played over six thousand minutes in the Premier League, rarely missing any of his club’s matches. That’s why Arsenal didn’t even try to find an alternative for the Norwegian. The only player who could play in this position, Fabio Viera, was loaned out to Porto.
Without Ødegaard, Thomas Partey is expected to play as the left-central midfielder. However, he is not as effective as Ødegaard in connecting with his teammates and making penetrating passes. There are also doubts about whether Partey can effectively replace Ødegaard in the pressing system.
The midfield replacement for Rice also raises questions. Jorginho, Kai Havertz, and Leandro Trossard are not yet able to handle a significant defensive workload or consistently cover passing lanes effectively when playing in central midfield.
Furthermore, the team’s new addition, Mikel Merino, is currently unavailable due to injury.
As a result, following the two-point loss in the previous match and the absence of two key players, Arsenal’s chances in the away match against Tottenham appear less promising.
Recent Form | DWWWW |
Key Players to Watch | Bukayo Saka |
Team Strengths | Positional attacks, pressing |
Team Weaknesses | Rice and Ødegaard suspension |
Key Injuries and suspensions | Mikel Merino (Shoulder Injury), Martin Odegaard (Ankle/Foot Injury, Takehiro Tomiyasu (Knee Injury), Declan Rice (suspended), Riccardo Calafiori (?), Gabriel Jesus (?) |
In the last three matches between these fierce North London rivals, Arsenal have dominated, winning three times and drawing once.
Last season, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, Arteta’s men raced to a 3-0 lead by the 38th minute, but Spurs mounted a spirited comeback in the second half, netting two goals and coming agonizingly close to rescuing a point.
Interestingly, since 2014, Tottenham has won six times at their home ground, with Arsenal winning only twice, both in their two most recent visits to Tottenham’s stadium.
James Maddison continues to be Tottenham’s creative heartbeat, helping the team overcome pressing in their own half, advance the ball in the midfield, and make penetrating passes with shots in the final third.
If Jorginho is deployed as Arsenal’s defensive anchor, Maddison could have a field day, as the Italian’s lack of pace and physicality might struggle to cope with Maddison’s nimble footwork and quick transitions.
On Arsenal’s side, Bukayo Saka will find it much harder to find space near the opponent’s penalty area due to the absence of Martin Ødegaard.
Through his movements, the Norwegian often distracts opponents and creates space for Saka’s surges. Nonetheless, Bukayo can still make a difference and remains a prime candidate to find the back of the net.
Like last season, both teams will likely opt for high-octane pressing, looking to disrupt each other’s build-up play and force mistakes in dangerous areas. Additionally, it’s important to remember that Arsenal is still one of the best teams in the Premier League at scoring from corner kicks.
Of course, Arsenal and Tottenham will probably regularly attempt to bypass each other’s pressing by playing long passes behind the high defensive line. In such situations, Bukayo Saka and Heung-min Son effectively can make timely runs into the penalty area.
Both teams have fantastic attacking potential and are expected to play in a proactive and aggressive manner, as they did last season when they scored nine goals between them in two matches.
Furthermore, Tottenham have been consistent in front of goal, finding the net in each of their last 11 matches, while Arsenal have scored in 14 consecutive games.
With both teams keen to play on the offensive, it seems highly likely that goals will flow at both ends in this encounter.
Heung-min Son has tormented Arsenal in recent seasons, scoring seven goals against Arsenal in his last nine North London derby appearances.
The Korean star scored three goals in two matches during the North London derby in the previous season, showing excellent runs behind the defenders.
Son also scored two goals in Tottenham’s first home match of the season against Everton and will surely pose a significant threat in the attack against the next opponent. Especially since Arsenal may encounter pressing problems without Rice and Ødegaard.
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