| Odds via 22bet | |
| Switzerland vs Italy | Saturday, June 29, 17:00 GMT+1 |
| Switzerland odds | 3.40 |
| Italy odds | 2.43 |
| Draw | 2.88 |
| Over\Under | 2.5 Goals 2.22/1.55 |
Switzerland passed the group stage confidently. A victory over Hungary and two draws with the same 1-1 score allowed Murat Yakin’s side to take second place in Group A.
The match against Germany turned out to be extremely intense. The Swiss had to play without the ball for most of the match. They looked great in defence and did not allow Germany to create dangerous chances near their goal. However, had they maintained the 1-0 advantage over Germany in the final round, they would have faced Denmark.
Due to the accumulation of too many yellow cards, Silvan Widmer will miss the first game of the playoffs. Most likely, he will be replaced by 22-year-old Stuttgart defender Leonidas Stergiou. Otherwise, Switzerland have no squad worries this weekend.
| Recent Form | DDWDW |
| Key Players to Watch | Michel Aebischer, Granit Xhaka, Breel Embolo |
| Team Strengths | Intense pressing, quickly moving to the attack |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of creativity, struggle against defensive teams |
Italy were unconvincing during the group stage. They narrowly won against Albania with a 2-1 scoreline. Then Spain completely outplayed them in the second round, losing 0-1. Against Croatia, they managed to avoid defeat thanks to an injury-time goal from Mattia Zaccagni, earning them second place.
Squadra Azzurra fans probably wanted to see more from their team. Their attack is in crisis. Gianluca Scamacca could not find his form, so Genoa forward Mateo Retegui had to step in. It’s reasonable to say that Italy does not look like EURO 2024 favorites yet.
For Riccardo Calafiori, the assist to Zaccagni at a decisive moment in the match against Croatia could be his swan song. The Bologna defender will miss the round of 16 due to yellow cards.
| Recent Form | DLWWD |
| Key Players to Watch | Federico Chiesa, Nicolò Barella, Gianluigi Donnarumma |
| Team Strengths | Solid defence, strong midfield |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of creative strikers |
In total, the teams have played each other 60 times. Italy won 29, lost seven, and 24 matches ended in a draw.
Among the most memorable matches, we can point out the 1994 World Cup Qualifiers, when Switzerland beat Italy 1-0 at home and drew 2-2 away.
The qualifying stage for Euro 2000 again brought the teams together in the same group. This time, Italy turned out to be stronger.
Finally, in the qualification for the Qatar World Cup, Switzerland and Italy met again, and both matches ended in a draw. We can remember a penalty miss from Jorginho, which eventually cost Italy the 2022 World Cup.
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Michel Aebischer has emerged as the Swiss leader in average rating when summing up the results of the Euro 2024 group stage. The Bologna midfielder is now an indispensable team player and has spent all 270 minutes on the field.
Captain and leader Granit Xhaka is also worth mentioning. The Leverkusen midfielder averages 73 touches per 90 minutes. It’s hard to imagine a complete game without him.
Breel Embolo is mostly used as a substitute, but he is fast and dangerous in the attack. He will pose a threat to Italy’s defenders for sure.
Italy conceded only three goals in three matches, and goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma deserves much of the credit. Against Spain and Croatia, Donnarumma made a total of 11 saves, many of which were difficult. He also saved a penalty kick from Luka Modrić.
In the defence, Riccardo Calafiori has been a stalwart so far in this European Championship. He and Bastoni complement each other well, making it difficult for opponents to break through.
Among the attackers, Federico Chiesa stands out. Although the Juventus winger has not had the best tournament, he remains Italy’s main source of creativity.
Yakin’s team is varied in their approach. Positional attacks are seamlessly replaced by lightning-fast counterattacks. Dan Ndoye and Breel Embolo excel at shattering the opponents’ defense, drawing them out and opening up areas for their teammates. They usually play with a 3-4-3 formation but adjust their tactics throughout the game.
We also focus on the squad changes that the Italian coaching staff applied during the group stage. While playing with a 4-2-3-1 formation, the Italians usually adjust their tactics based on their opponents’ strength and playing style.
As soon as Luciano took over the national team, he began working on the defence, and the Italians began to play more reliably. However, there is still an imbalance between midfield and attack.
Both teams lost one pivotal player each – Widmer for Switzerland and Calafiori for Italy. Instead of Calafiori, Mancini is expected to step in, although he is not even a stable player at his club Roma. Moreover, he is prone to receiving yellow cards, and Luciano Spalletti will have a difficult decision to make.
The Swiss can calmly give the ball away and play as number two as they did successfully against Germany. The Italians have problems with positional attacks, so breaking Switzerland’s defence will be problematic.
The Swiss have another advantage in terms of their fast players. Much will depend on their wingers, who have had a decent tournament so far. Our EURO 2024 prediction is that Switzerland will clinch at least a draw in this match.
The upcoming match is crucial, with a ticket to the quarterfinals at stake. Switzerland is unlikely to opt for an open game, while the Italians are likely to adhere to a more closed style.
The first half will likely resemble a “game of chess,” with both sides exploring each other and capitalizing on even minimal errors from their opponents.
In recent head-to-head matches, the total number of goals has regularly been under 2.5. More than two goals were not scored in five of the last six games. Additionally, both teams have great goalkeepers. Therefore, our EURO 2024 tip is to place a bet on under 2.5 goals.
Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all UEFA EURO 2024 predictions, odds, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.
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