Switzerland arrive at the Round of 32 unbeaten through the group stage, conceding just once in three matches. That defensive record starts in midfield, where their double pivot has consistently won the ball back inside ten seconds of losing it — a pressing structure Algeria's attack struggled against in their own group games.
Algeria, by contrast, go into this tie without their first-choice right-back, forcing a reshuffle that leaves space in exactly the channel Switzerland like to attack down. Their front line has looked sharp in transition but has needed more than twenty shots per goal scored so far — a conversion rate that tends to regress against a well-organised back four.
The pick: Switzerland to win at 1.65. Not the biggest price on the board, but the matchup profile — control in midfield, a defensive record that travels, and an opponent missing a key defender — points to a routine passage into the Round of 16.