A second successive finish in the Champions League places looks unlikely for Stuttgart at this stage, as they sit ninth after 12 rounds. However, Stuttgart have suffered just one defeat in their last five, with draws proving to be their Achilles heel in 2024-25.
The German side continue to suffer in the final third following the departure of Serhou Guirassy, as they have scored just 16 goals from an xG of 18.21. But, their defensive play looks to be solid enough to suggest that they should kick on if finding their scoring feet, as they have conceded just 16 from an xGA of 17.65.
However, they will likely need to defend setpieces better, allowing three goals from an xGA of 1.78.
The home team this weekend will be limited in terms of options in the final third, with Jamie Leweling, Deniz Undav, and El Bilal Toure all set to miss out on Bundesliga matches before the turn of the year. Therefore, scoring goals could be their biggest challenge this weekend against Union.
Union Berlin will be chasing a return to form this week after suffering defeats in each of their last two, and failing to win in their previous five. Despite that unsuccessful run, a victory on Friday could see them end the evening two points adrift of the Champions League places in the Bundesliga.
A defensive 3-4-2-1 formation has been deployed so far this season, gaining rewards in terms of goals conceded after allowing just nine from an xGA of 11.88. However, the system is limiting their output in the final third, as Union have scored just five goals from an xG of 6.74 when playing the formation.
The visitors will be without defender Diogo Leite and midfielders Yannic Stein and Andrej Ilić on Friday. However, an unchanged line-up could be named after a creditable performance despite defeat against Bayer Leverkusen last Saturday.
Bet hereIt’s potentially not the greatest endorsement of this clash, but goals could be kept to a minimum in Stuttgart on Friday.
Both teams have struggled in the final third this season, and the home side will be without three key players in the forward areas. Undav, Touré, and Leweling have contributed eight goals this season, so Stuttgart will feel their absences.
We still expect the home team to score, but they could fall behind in the early stage, as they have allowed four goals in the opening 30 minutes of Bundesliga matches this season. Therefore, a draw could be an intriguing Stuttgart vs Union Berlin prediction.
A slightly unusual betting angle could be followed in Friday’s match. Stuttgart have been strong finishers in the Bundesliga this season, boasting their best xG in the time bracket 76+. The German side have an xG of 7.88 in the final 14 minutes of matches in the Bundesliga, scoring nine goals overall.
Alternatively, the defensive-minded Union could be an interesting football prediction to win under 4.5 corners. Union have won an average of 4.33 corners in the Bundesliga this season, with that average likely being down to their conservative 3-4-2-1 formation.
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