Luis de la Fuente’s Spain have already secured their place in next summer’s quarterfinals of the Nations League, with the top spot wrapped up with a victory over Denmark on Friday. Spain have won their last six internationals on home soil, scoring 14 goals overall and averaging an xG of 2.11.
Defensively, the Spanish have also been excellent, conceding just four times in home matches and allowing an xGA of 0.92. The home team have also scored an average of 2.33 goals in matches played in Spain in 2024.
Fuente will be without a number of key players for this clash with the Swiss. The most notable of those is Lamine Yamal. However, the squad is well-stocked in the forward areas, with Mikel Oyarzabal, Álvaro Morata, and Dani Olmo all likely to be handed starts.
It has been a disappointing Nations League campaign for Switzerland, as they look set to suffer relegation to the second tier. The Swiss have failed to win in five matches, and have picked up just two points from a possible 15.
Many of their issues have been evident on the road. They have won just once in their last five and scored just five times in that period. Switzerland has averaged one goal per match in their last five on the road from an xG of 1.27.
However, it could be worth noting before making a Spain vs Switzerland prediction that they have been defensively sound, conceding an xGA of just 1.19, which is a lower average than they have recorded in home fixtures.
Extra pressure will be on Swiss stars Granit Xhaka and Remo Freuler this week, as they will play in the defensive midfield roles against Spain.
Bet hereEven without the talented Yamal, Spain should have far too much for the Swiss on Monday. It has been a stunning year for the Spanish, winning Olympic gold and the 2024 EUROs.
A number of fringe players will be given their chance to shine this week, and the depth available to the Spanish coach will make the possession-based style a preferred football prediction against a defensive-minded Swiss.
Spain (-2) could be an interesting play, but Switzerland’s strong defensive record on the road could mean that this selection is vulnerable.
Mikel Merino’s ability to make runs from deep has made him a constant threat for club and country this year. The Spanish midfielder could be an interesting scorer bet on Monday, averaging 1.2 shots per game and accumulating an xG of 0.6 across all competitions.
Meanwhile, both teams not to score could be an interesting alternative. Spain have kept clean sheets in 33% of their home matches, and the Swiss have failed to score in 40% of their away matches over the last 12 months.
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