Ivan Jurić is yet to gain the response he’s been looking for since taking the Southampton job. They remain locked at the bottom of the Premier League standings.
Performances have been more competitive, with his 3-4-2-1 formation freeing up Tyler Dibling in the final third of the field. However, the side are still conceding far too many goals at the opposite end of the field.
Southampton have conceded a high xGA of 36.56 from open play this term and have allowed 27 goals. But it’s in the attacking third where more will be required, as the Saints have scored just ten goals from an xG of 16.00. Adam Lallana is in the picture to return this weekend, but Flynn Downes is a concern in the middle of midfield.
Thomas Frank will be hoping for a response from his Brentford side this weekend. They’ve lost three of their last four matches and have picked up a league-low in terms of points. Despite that, the Bees are the favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday.
The goals appear to have dried up in recent weeks, and key injuries to Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey, and Ethan Pinnock have left them vulnerable at the back.
Despite attacking issues, Brentford are still out-performing in terms of xG, having scored 28 goals from an xG of 24.91. However, defensive problems are evident by the metric, as they’ve conceded 32 goals from open play from an xGA of 29.19.
Bet hereBrentford’s woes on the road are hard to dismiss despite coming up against the side at the foot of the standings. Southampton have shown more in recent games, but individual mistakes are still costing them dearly.
This will be a must-win game if Southampton are to have any chance of remaining in the top-flight this term. Jurić will set his team up in a defensively-sound structure. On the counter-attack, they could get joy against a leaky Brentford outfit. Their continued defensive issues are showing no signs of stopping, especially on the road.
Questions are glaringly obvious when it comes to these sides in a defensive regard. Therefore, both teams to score could be a solid Southampton vs Brentford prediction.
Brentford still have excellent quality on the attack, but they’ve conceded in six of their last seven matches. Meanwhile, Southampton looked better in the forward areas in their previous outing, and a similar performance could see them get joy against their opponents.
Paul Onuachu could be an interesting selection to score. The striker has been given his chances under Jurić and has caught the eye in just 263 minutes on the field. He averages 4.11 shots per 90, and this weekend could be his opportunity to open his account.
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