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Sevilla vs Athletic Club | Sunday, March 16, 2025, 16:15 GMT+1 |
Sevilla odds | 2.955 |
Athletic Club odds | 2.54 |
Draw | 3.115 |
Over/Under | Total 2.5: 2.336/1.6 |
Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Sevilla sit in 10th place, having only lost one event (against Barcelona) in their last nine. They drew with Espanyol, Getafe, Valencia, Mallorca, and Rayo Vallecano. However, they were victorious in key encounters against Real Valladolid and Real Sociedad.
Although García Pimienta’s team only registered 39% possession, they finished the match with more shots (9) than Real Sociedad (7).
One reason for Sevilla’s improvement in the last two months is the rise of defender Loïc Badé. The Frenchman has imposed himself as the leader of the backline.
At the beginning of the season, the side dominated the midfield but conceded too many counter-attacks. Badé has become the player who slows them down and organises the team, while his physicality helps him hold his marker in 1v1s.
On the other hand, the arrival of Rúben Vargas as a winger became a game-changer. Pimienta’s men used to be flat in their assault as they lacked penetrative wingers. This is now a thing of the past, with Lukebakio and Vargas capable of converting advanced positions into tangible chances in the final third.
Akor Adams, Nemanja Gudelj, Tanguy Nianzou, and Rúben Vargas remain sidelined with injuries.
Sevilla predicted line-up vs Athletic Club (4-2-3-1): Nyland; Pedrosa, Badé, Salas, Carmona; Sow, Agoumé; Ejuké, Saúl, Lukebakio; Romero.
Athletic Club qualified for the Europa League quarter finals after defeating AS Roma in Bilbao (3-1) in the second leg. Ernesto Valverde’s men lost in the first encounter (2-1), but errors from Mats Hummels and a passionate fan base allowed Athletic to come back and progress through the competition. They’ve been paired with Rangers for the quarterfinals, scheduled for mid-April.
The Basques sit 4th in LaLiga, last defeated by Atlético de Madrid (1-0) earlier this month. Although the team put up a brilliant display, one moment of inattention was enough for Julian Álvarez to score the winner.
Athletic defeated Real Valladolid in an impressive 7-1 beating. They were then held to a draw by Mallorca (1-1), equalizing two minutes after conceding a goal as Nico Williams scored.
Daniel Vivian and Oihan Sancet will remain out due to injuries.
Athletic Club Predicted line-up vs Sevilla (4-2-3-1): Simón; Boiro, Paredes, Álvarez, Gorosabel; Prados, Jaureguizar; I. Williams, Canales, N. Williams; Berenguer.
Bet hereAlthough the hosts’ form speaks for itself, and Athletic Club have struggled to remain consistent in recent weeks, the Basques are expected to win in Sevilla. Vivian is expected to come back after a 10-day absence, and the Williams brothers showed against Roma that they’re determined to continue tormenting defenders.
Sancet could be back, although he’s not expected to start. There’s a similar situation with Vargas for the home side, but Athletic remain an intense team out of possession. This happens to be one of Sevilla’s major weaknesses, justifying our prediction.
Although the hosts have improved their central defense, they remain fragile when defending wing-based counter-attacks. With the Williams brothers expected to start on both wings, Athletic Club are likely to break down through Nico whose impact in the final third cannot be overstated.
Nico scored a brace on Thursday against Roma, and it would not be surprising to see him scoring once more against Sevilla on Sunday.
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