Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Preview, Team News and Lineups 04.05.2025

• Date and Time: Sunday, May 4, 2025, 18:00 GMT+1
• Venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

Roma vs Fiorentina Preview and Team News 

Roma Team News

Roma’s land in the capital was encouraged by an 18-match unbeaten run that reached a new emotional peak last weekend. Matías Soulé’s low finish stunned Inter at San Siro and re-ignited Champions League hopes. 

In meetings against teams that used a 3-5-2/ 3-4-3 formation, Claudio Ranieri switched to an asymmetrical 3-4-2-1, which has shrunk the pitch vertically. Zeki Celik tucks inside to form a back-three out of possession. This allows Matías Soulé to attack the right touchline while Angeliño holds the width on the opposite side. 

3⃣ giorni a Roma-Fiorentina ⚽️#ASRoma pic.twitter.com/MWNTeOMqDo

— AS Roma (@OfficialASRoma) May 1, 2025

With Paulo Dybala ruled out for the season and centre-back Victor Nelsson still unavailable, the soul of Roma’s build-up now flows through Lorenzo Pellegrini and Matías Soulé. Their spacing drags markers away from Artem Dovbyk’s and Eldor Shomurodov`s darting runs into the channels.

Roma’s mid-block compresses central lanes before springing forward. Koné’s long-striding presses and Cristante’s screen force opponents wide, and  Saelemaekers and Angelino are aggressive in first-time tackles. 

Roma predicted lineup vs Fiorentina

Roma predicted lineup vs Fiorentina (3-4-2-1): Svilar; Celik, Mancini, Ndicka; Saelemaekers, Cristante, Paredes, Kone; Angelino, Soule; Dovbyk.

Fiorentina Team News

Fiorentina’s calendar is heavier. Only 72 hours before kick-off, Raffaele Palladino’s men contest a Conference League semi-final first leg in Seville. The need to rotate is sharpened by absences. Right-wing-back Dodò has undergone an emergency appendectomy, and Moise Kean has missed training for family reasons. Captain-centre-back Luca Ranieri is suspended.

At the weekend, Fiorentina steadied themselves, edging Empoli 2-1 through goals by Yassine Adli and Rolando Mandragora to stay one point behind Roma. Earlier, they beat Cagliari 2-1 and played a 0-0 against Parma. In the away match of the Conference League, they lost to Betis with a score of 1-2.

Film of the match. 🎞️#BetisFiorentina pic.twitter.com/03o0VYkbuk

— ACF Fiorentina English (@ACFFiorentinaEN) May 1, 2025

The team’s recent pattern is less linear. The Empoli win demonstrated how early vertical passes from Cataldi and Mandragora into half-spaces can still disorient deep defences once they pin the opposition’s wing-backs high.

In terms of injuries, Luca Ranieri serves the first of a two-match ban. Dodò and  Andrea Colpani are out, and Moise Kean should return to start after personal leave.

Fiorentina predicted lineup vs Roma

Fiorentina predicted lineup vs Roma (3-4-2-1): De Gea; Pongračić, Mari, Comuzzo; Folorunsho, Richardson, Cataldi, Mandragora; Gosens, Gudmundsson; Kean.

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction 

• Pick: Roma to win
• Odds: 1.66 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Roma 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina kick off at the Olímpico just 72 hours after a bruising Conference League first leg against Real Betis at the Benito Villamarín. It’s a match that Palladino called “the most demanding of our season” in the eve-of-game press conference.​

The club calendar shows Fiorentina playing five times between May 1 and 12. Betis (1 May), Roma (4 May), Betis again (8 May), and Venezia (12 May). A four-game, 12-day gauntlet that leaves minimal recovery windows.​

Additionally, Palladino’s squad rotation options are limited.​

Since mid-April, Claudio Ranieri’s men have scored against every opponent they faced. Across the season, the hosts now average 1.56 league goals and 1.87 xG per 90, with 33 of their 49 strikes coming at home.​ 

Moreover, Roma won 8 of their previous 10 local matches with an overall score of 24-5. They are the big favorites in the upcoming game against Fiorentina.

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: Roma. Total Over 1
• Odds: 1.27 (22Bet)

Without Luca Ranieri, Raffaele Palladino must slide Mari to the middle of the back three and promote teenager Comuzzo on the left, removing the only natural ball-playing centre-back. Dodò’s absence forces shifts Gosens across, blunting Fiorentina’s best transition weapon on the left.

Roma, by contrast, keep both wing-backs high in settled possession. Their average home attacking width is Serie A’s best, stretching exactly the zone the visitors will try to patch together.​

Add the travel and Betis-induced emotional spike, and Fiorentina’s legs are likeliest to go after the hour, the same window in which Roma often scored goals.

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