| Odds via 22Bet | |
| PSG vs Arsenal | Wednesday, May 7, 2025, 21:00 GMT+1 |
| PSG odds | 2.06 |
| Arsenal odds | 3.36 |
| Draw | 3.66 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.66/2.22 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Paris Saint-Germain return to the Parc des Princes, needing only to protect the one-goal cushion Ousmane Dembélé earned at the Emirates six nights ago. The scoreline, though, flatters no one.
With the tie balanced on such acceptable margins, the second-leg narrative revolves around how each coach manages fatigue. It also hangs on how he preserves clarity under pressure, and controls the wide channels that dominated leg one.
Luis Enrique rested ten starters at Strasbourg on Saturday and still saw enough zip in his fringe XI to fire 20 shots. His rotated side did slip, however, to a 2-1 defeat that ended a 39-match away unbeaten streak.
PSG’s domestic stroll, since last weekend’s record 12th Ligue 1 crown, has allowed Enrique to treat every league fixture as a tactical rehearsal for Europe.
The Spaniard’s possession model morphs into a 3-2-5 in settled phases. Vitinha steps between the centre-backs, Achraf Hakimi, and Nuno Mendes, attacking high as winger-full-back hybrids. Arsenal’s pressing in north London forced Mendes to defend deeper than usual. Hakimi still completed many carries.
Luis Enrique confirmed after the Strasbourg loss that Dembélé’s hamstring strain kept him out purely as a precaution and that the winger “will be assessed again on Monday”. Subsequent reports from Paris Saint-Germain’s medical bulletin described his progress as “positive”. This fuels the belief that he’ll start on the right flank, even if a late fitness test is required.
Bradley Barcola’s electric play in Alsace has put him in contention to displace Desire Doue on the left.
Centre-backs Marquinhos and Willian Pacho were spared at the weekend. Both trained fully on Monday, meaning only long-term absentee Presnel Kimpembe remains unavailable.
PSG predicted lineup vs Arsenal (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Mendes; Ruiz, Vitinh, Neves; Doue, Dembele, Kvaratskhelia.
| Key Players to Watch | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembele |
| Team Strengths | Strong attacking line, great pressing, and counterpressing |
| Team Weaknesses | Sometimes, there’s a numerical disadvantage in the centre of the field |
| Key injuries and suspensions | Presnel Kimpembe |
Mikel Arteta, in contrast, gambled on momentum and fielded a near-first-choice side against Bournemouth. They still lost 2-1 and conceded further psychological ground in the Premier League title race.
That setback leaves Arsenal clinging to Europe as their realistic route to silverware. It may also sharpen the competitive edge Arteta demanded in a post-match rallying cry.
For the Londoners, the question is whether the high press is sustainable after bruising PL minutes and a mounting injury list. Martin Ødegaard ended Saturday’s defeat nursing minor knocks, although club medics remain optimistic of full availability on Wednesday.
Arteta’s treatment room is busy. Timber’s ACL rehabilitation continues, Riccardo Calafiori is not expected back from knee cartilage damage until late May, and Jorginho remains doubtful with a rib fracture. The manager admitted squad rotation is “minimal” because of those absences, explaining his reluctance to rest players against Bournemouth.
Nevertheless, Thomas Partey will be back after suspension and should sit deepest in a 4-3-3 that morphs into a 2-3-5 with Ødegaard and Declan Rice floating between lines.
Arsenal predicted lineup vs PSG (4-2-3-1): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Kiwior, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Partey; Rice, Saka, Merino; Martinelli.
| Key Players to Watch | Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Mikel Merino |
| Team Strengths | High-quality defence in mid-block, swift vertical attacks |
| Team Weaknesses | Lack of a goal-scoring centre forward |
| Key injuries and suspensions | Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhaes, Kai Havertz,Takehiro Tomiyasu |
The first leg marked only the four competitive meetings between the clubs. Dembélé’s seventh-minute finish secured PSG’s second victory in the series and their first-ever win in London.
Arsenal won 2-0 in the group stage at the Emirates Stadium on 1 October 2024, courtesy of strikes from Kai Havertz and Bukayo Saka. Prior to this semi-final, the 2016 group fixtures finished 1-1 in Paris and 2-2 in London.
Dembélé`s inside-out runs from the right and left between the lines undid Arsenal in leg one. Enrique trusts him to move freely without any positional pinning. Moreover, Ousmane is also useful in pressing, often active in the first line.
Rice is Arsenal’s metronome. In the first leg, he was one of their best players in terms of ball carrying. Rice’s duel with Vitinha will decide whether the Gunners can stabilise defensive transitions and reload attacks quickly enough.
Leg one distilled the tie into a battle for width. Whenever Arsenal pressed 4-1-4-1, PSG lured their wingers narrow, then released Hakimi and Dembele beyond the cover shadow.
Arteta’s obvious tweak is to invert Myles Lewis-Skelly less, instead tasking him with tracking Hakimi. All this while screening the line with Partey, flipping to a 4-2-3-1.
At the opposite end, Arsenal’s most dangerous spell at the Emirates arrived when Lewis-Skelly or Rice carried the ball through the centre of the pitch with precise passes for Martinelli or Trossard behind PSG`s defenders.
Paris Saint-Germain’s counter is to release active attacking positional rotations and use their key playmakers – Doue, Kvaratskhelia, and Dembele in the final third. Their man-oriented pressing works well against Liverpool and Aston Villa and can disrupt Arsenal`s build-up short-passing play.
In that case, the visitors’ main point is to use Mikel Merino’s aerial capability on the hosts’ half with his quick passes to the other attacking players.
Bet hereThe home squad are poised to secure victory over Arsenal in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final. Under Luis Enrique’s guidance, PSG have evolved into a cohesive unit that emphasizes collective strength over individual brilliance.
The anticipated return of Ousmane Dembélé, who has shown recovery from a hamstring strain, adds a dynamic edge to PSG’s attack. His presence on the field is expected to bolster the team’s attacking capabilities. He’ll provide the necessary firepower to challenge the visitors’ defense.
Conversely, Arsenal faces challenges with key players like Jurrien Timber and Martin Odegaard doubtful for the match, potentially weakening their squad. This, coupled with Paris Saint-Germain’s advantage and recent tactical discipline, positions them favorably to capitalize on any vulnerabilities.
Considering these factors, PSG can outmaneuver the guests and advance to the Champions League final.
PSG are one of the best attacking teams in Europe. In the first leg, they showed great offensive unpredictability against Liverpool, Aston Villa, and Arsenal.
At home, they can overrun the visitors due to high-intensity, quick combinations in the centre of the pitch. They also display dangerous 1v1 dribbles on the flanks and super aggressive counter-pressing, which give them complete domination on the pitch.
Even if they conceded a goal to Arsenal at the start of the game, they still have enough energy and tactical versatility to net at least once on Wednesday.
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