Paraguay vs Argentina Preview, Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips 15.11.2024

• Date and Time: Thursday, October 15, 2024, 23:30 GMT+1
• Venue: Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción, Paraguay

Paraguay vs Argentina Preview

Paraguay

After a rocky start to their World Cup qualifying campaign, Paraguay have improved their standing with two home wins in their last three outings.

Gustavo Alfaro’s team made headlines with a hard-fought 1-0 victory against Brazil on home soil. Adopting a highly defensive strategy, Paraguay scored a quick goal in the 20th minute. Remarkably, Brazil did not create a single dangerous opportunity throughout the game, consistently facing a solid Paraguayan defense.

In their subsequent home game against Venezuela, Paraguay had to rally from a 1-0 deficit. The team displayed an impressive attacking style, creating multiple scoring opportunities. Although they missed a penalty, they ultimately won the match 2-1.

Unbeaten in their last four matches, Paraguay are now in a strong position for direct qualification to the 2026 World Cup.  

Paraguay have conceded the fewest goals among all teams in their ten qualifying matches, largely due to their well-organized play in a compact 4-4-2 formation. However, with just four goals scored, the second-lowest in the standings, their attacking game has room for improvement.

A key reason behind these scoring struggles is that Paraguay’s positional attacks often lack creativity. Nevertheless, they performed well in their match against Venezuela, particularly in the second half.

Argentina

Argentina lost 2-1 to Colombia in an away match that saw Lionel Messi absent from the lineup. Despite creating an equal number of dangerous chances as their opponents, their finishing lacked the clinical edge needed to capitalize fully.

In their following match, Lionel Scaloni’s team drew 1-1 away against Venezuela, with Messi back on the pitch. Argentina managed only four shots inside the box throughout the entire match and created a minimal number of dangerous opportunities.

It’s worth noting the dreadful pitch conditions at the Monumental de Maturín stadium. The grass could not handle the heavy rainfall, and the players were forced to contend with standing water, which likely hindered Argentina’s performance.

After these tough outings, Argentina bounced back spectacularly, demolishing Bolivia 6-0  in a dominant home display. This victory allowed them to extend their lead to six points above Uruguay and Brazil, who are currently in third and fourth place, respectively. 

With this advantage, Argentina is on track to secure their spot in the final stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

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Paraguay vs Argentina Prediction

• Pick: Total Under 2.5
• Odds: 1.44 (22Bet)
• Score prediction: Paraguay 1-1 Argentina

In their last two home matches, Paraguay drew with Argentina 0-0, and they defeated Argentina 1-0 away in 2016. 

Overall, in the last seven matches between these teams, no game has seen more than two goals scored, largely because of Paraguay’s well-organized defense. During this time, Argentina secured only two narrow victories at home, winning both games with a 1-0 score.

Given Paraguay’s current ability to play in a very defensive style under Gustavo Alfaro’s leadership, it is reasonable to expect that this match will feature fewer than three goals.

Paraguay vs Argentina Prediction, Betting Tip

• Pick: 1X (Paraguay won`t lose)
• Odds: 2.14 (22Bet)

It’s quite risky to bet on Paraguay not losing, especially considering Argentina have a much stronger lineup. 

However, Paraguay’s recent victory over Brazil on home soil and their track record of stifling Argentina’s attack in Asunción suggest they could pull off another resilient performance. Therefore, it’s quite possible that in this match, the hosts could achieve a positive result and not lose to Argentina.

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