Eddie Howe’s Newcastle will be chasing a third straight win in the Premier League on Monday. The Magpies could end the round as high as seventh in the standings, and their return to form has been sparked by the return of Alexander Isak.
Newcastle’s forward line has flourished this season. They come into this round of matches, outperforming their xG metric, netting eleven goals from a stat of 10.97. Meanwhile, they are also impressing defensively, accumulating an xGA of 16.38 and conceding just nine goals from open play.
Once again, Howe will deploy the 4-3-3 formation, with emphasis in the final third put on Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes in the wide areas. However, the Magpies will continue to be without Callum Wilson, with the striker having failed to make an appearance so far this season.
There is still pressure on Julen Lopetegui at this stage of the season, as the Hammers have failed to reach the standards expected of them following a big summer of investment.
West Ham sit just three points above the drop zone, and have won just once across their last four matches. A 4-1-4-1 formation will be deployed once again this week, with Michail Antonio playing down the middle in the absence of Niclas Füllkrug.
Scoring goals has proven to be an issue for the Hammers throughout the season. They have scored just eleven times from open play and have an xG of 14.88. Meanwhile, they have really struggled to defend from corners, accumulating an xGA of 2.63 and conceding three goals.
Bet hereNewcastle’s form has picked up following the return of Isak, and there is limited evidence to suggest that their push for a Champions League spot will come to an end on Monday.
The Magpies have been excellent in recent weeks, and they will likely dominate the ball against a counter-attacking based rival this week. Newcastle could get joy from setpieces after accumulating an xG from 2.49 this term, which would be a concern given West Ham’s poor record of defending corners.
West Ham’s limited options in the final third will also restrict them at St. James’ Park, and their job is only made more testing based on the fact that they have won just once in their last ten Premier League matches against the Magpies.
Brazilian international Joelinton could be a solid Newcastle vs West Ham prediction this week.
The midfielder has scored twice in eleven appearances this season, and has accumulated an xG of 1.88 from his 1.75 shots per 90. His aerial threat could also be an interesting angle against a West Ham side that have struggled when defending set pieces this term.
Meanwhile, it could be worth siding with West Ham to pick up more cards than Newcastle on Monday. The Hammers have picked up an average of 2.55 cards per game, and have had over 4.5 cards in 45% of their matches. On the road, the Hammers have averaged 2.60 cards per game.
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