| Odds via 22Bet | |
| Newcastle vs Ipswich | Saturday, April 26, 2025, 16:00 GMT+1 |
| Newcastle odds | 1.23 |
| Ipswich odds | 12 |
| Draw | 6.25 |
| Over\Under | Total 2.5: 1.41/2.74 |
| Betting Bonus | Up to 122 $/€ |
Newcastle heads into this weekend reeling from a 4-1 defeat at Villa Park but encouraged by a strong six-match winning streak that secured a place in the Champions League. Eddie Howe’s men have averaged 3.3 goals per game at home in 2025, led by the in-form Alexander Isak.
Recent performances reveal a stark contrast: a dominating 5-0 victory over Crystal Palace highlighted Tonali’s effective pressing and Murphy’s diagonal runs. The surprising 4-1 loss to Villa exposed weaknesses in Newcastle’s defence, which failed to recover after early turnovers.
Additionally, a previous 4-1 thrashing of Manchester United showed Isak’s relentless runs and Bruno’s precise diagonal passes. The pattern is clear: when Howe’s attacking trio presses together, Newcastle capitalise on second balls, create overloads in wide areas, and finish quickly.
In terms of injuries, Jamaal Lascelles remains sidelined long-term after an ACL surgery, and Joelinton is still being managed for knee discomfort. However, Sven Botman trained this week and could return to partner Fabian Schär in defence.
Nick Pope has come back to the substitutes’ bench, but Martin Dúbravka will continue in goal.
Newcastle predicted lineup vs Ipswich (4-2-3-1): Dúbravka; Trippier, Schär, Botman, Hall; Tonali, B. Guimarães; Willock, Murphy, Isak; Gordon.
Newly promoted Ipswich arrive at St James’ Park clinging to survival after collecting a single point from their last three outings and losing Leif Davis to suspension.
Ipswich’s last three matches paint a grim picture. They surrendered a 1‑0 lead to Wolverhampton with shredded rest‑defence in transitions. The squad also conceded 34 shots in a 2‑2 draw at Chelsea despite a heroic Alex Palmer, and collapsed 4‑0 to Arsenal once reduced to ten men.
McKenna’s man-oriented press has frayed, the midfield pivot sits too deep to connect counters, and Delap’s rib issue has robbed Town of vertical outlets.
Leif Davis begins a three‑game ban after his straight red against Arsenal, and Philogene’s MCL tear ends his season. Kalvin Phillips (Achilles) and Omari Hutchinson (hamstring) are still sidelined.
Liam Delap has trained with a protective rib pad. If his ribs hold, his channel chasing onto Pope’s replacement, Dúbravka, can pin Newcastle’s centre‑backs and give Jack Clarke pockets between Guimarães and Trippier.
Ipswich must also keep Julio Enciso high and wide to exploit the space Hall vacates on aggressive overlaps.
Ipswich predicted lineup vs Newcastle (4-2-3-1): Palmer; Tuanzebe, O’Shea, Burgess, Townsend; Morsy, Cajuste; Johnson, Enciso, Clarke; Delap.
Bet hereAntony Gordon’s inverted drifts and Murphy’s width should pin Ipswich’s full‑backs. With Davis suspended, a right‑footed stand‑in on the left faces Kieran Trippier’s under‑lapping surges, inviting 2‑v‑1s that Tonali exploits with third‑man runs.
Bruno Guimarães can press the visitors’ captain, Sam Morsy, on the turn, forcing hurried releases. When that trigger is sprung, Joelinton crashes the half‑space, creating staggered midfield heights that opponents struggle to track.
Moreover, the hosts average 0.34 xG per corner in 2025. Ipswich concede the league’s highest xG from dead balls (0.29).
The form lines, fitness bulletins, and stylistic trajectories below all point in one direction: Newcastle should overwhelm Town’s fragile 4‑2‑3‑1 with their high‑press 4‑3‑3. They are likely to drag Ipswich’s narrow double pivot wide, and flood the vacated channels around a makeshift full‑back pairing.
Isak has struck five goals in his previous four home league appearances, drifting into the left‑half space to finish Murphy and Gordon cut‑backs. Exactly the corridor that Ipswich’s reshuffled back four now guard least convincingly.
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